Friday, August 5, 2011

Monday means Minimnal Purses, but...

...plenty of wagering opportunities! I like this card a lot and will probably bne on BetHarness most of the night.

There is a $10K Guaranteed pick 4 with a 14% Takeout on races 8-11

The Play:46/456/1237/12=$48.

Analysis: Race 8- 4) Ideal Treasure was a huge in the maiden win, Who cares if she is six? take a shot shows consistent good efforts at Scioto and gets Aaron Merriman.

Race 9: Noble chose 5) Category Six over 4)Bodandy Andy, who gets Merriman and won't be hurt. They seem, The two best, but Tieler Bea Hotspur can sneak in a strong mile when you least expect it.

Race 10:Wide Open and I could easily go 6 deep. 3)Mutual Funs will be overbet and trotters coming in from Buffalo/Batavia generally don't do well here first time back.

Race 11: 2)Blue My Mind raced well against a prety classy animal in Polo Joe last week and gets the edge; 1)Three Sox Missing had the class opened up for him, gets the rail and gets back red-hot Russ Swartz, who won with him in this class two back.

Here are the rest of the picks. Good luck.

Race 1: 2 Verge Of Victory- Noble gives her the edge; 1 Next Chip- Has done good work lately and gets the rail, but is 0-15 lifeitme; 5 Christmas Knight- 100% homebred seems to improving slightly with each start.

Race 2: 3 E C K- Looked a bit better dropping down to this level; 5 Laag The Mile- Drops to level of his last win, but has been awful since, cam Swartz help? 8 Pure Fantasy- They opened it up for him, then he draws the snowman.

Race 3: 3 Abby- Back in at her proper level she should excel; 1 Little Treasures- Shows generally good efforts, Swartz may help; 8 Scoremania- They opened it up for him, then he draws the snowman. And no, I’m not stuttering.

Race 4: 1Mac Only Bill- A bit off his game last time, gets Aaron here and should win; 2 Bucks Luck- Should trip out in this one; 5 Supreme Ruler- Charlino is a difference maker; 8 Ohio Star- Sit in, wait ‘til late and then pass a few.

Race 5: 4 Done It All- Is Noble from Pork Chop a positive driver change? 2 R Cowboy- Classy old horse is reunited with A. Merriman. Scoreboard; 3 Wild Nordic- Needs a better trip, from the looks of things.

Race 6: 6 Mr Fenton- We get a classic third start back angle and he should break through; 4 Call Me Merkle- Was killed by the trip last week, another chance; 5 Super Rapper- Always contends, but hasn’t won in quite a while.

Race 7: 8 Taxed- It appears this one has improved just slightly with Noble driving; 1 Man I’m Good- Break ended a run of good results, back in with claimers here; 5 Firm Jet- Just needs to sustain his work, still green at seven.

Race 8: 4 Ideal Treasure- Moves up off an impressive with for her connections; 6 Take A Shot Scott- Could surprise these; 5 Move It Forward- Raced well on the bottom of the form, but recent efforts not so much.

Race 9: 5 Category Six- Huge class drop and Noble chose over the other logical one; 4 Bodandy Andy- NW1L8 isn’t a factor in this class that often, it is here; 6 Tieler Bea Hotspur- Has done moderate work the last few races.

Race 10: 2 Trytopass Sam- Gets his nose on the gate and may beat this bunch; 1 Diehl’s Deal- Let’s see if Charlino gets him straightened out; 7 Whatsupwiththat- Flat effort after a series of good ones for Kenan Thompson’s fave horse; 3 Mutual Funs- Gets class relief but will need a start or two here.

Race 11: 2 Blue My Mind- Raced well from the outside and should cut this one; 1 Three Sox Missing- Won with Swartz two back and this is a similar group (they opened it up for him, too).

Race 12: 1 Perfekjenlmnkalfas- Needs to pace the mile. If he does, game, set match; 2 Bell Valley Diva- Will be on the point but probably won’t last; 7 Classy Rocket- Sure looked classy in his debut with a tag, may surprise.

Race 13: 2 Hoosier Lion- Aaron chose off so Rachel gets stuck with Noble. Oh well; 4 Townline Powerful- Aaron chose the Rideout trainee in what looks to me like a loyalty call; 3 Carolina Song- Classic third back angle and has gone some decent miles; 1 Tin Star- Keeping it all inside with this one who comes off two decent efforts.

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