I like a ton of longshots and a ton of horses from the eight hole. I am either cashing big or going home broke. (I am actually going to a Boosters meeting).
There is a $10,000 Guaranteed Pick 4 with a 14% takeout on races 8-11.
The play:16/257/26/179= $36
Race 8:6) Vince The Man gets class relief and Dan Noble, but the 1)Samovar hanover just worries me- can't put my finger on it.
Race 9: 5)Sj's Manawa Sam is super sharp, but was a beaten fave moving up to this level last time. 7)Ilooklikerudy is not that effective from outside posts and 2)One Day Wonder could get a similar trip to last week's winning one.
Race 10: 2)Drop of Numteg is my best bet of the night and I am still not comfortable singling her. 6) Date Night K finally got some last week and may be much braver here.
Race 11: Wide open, but i can only go three deep. 1)Moon River dell always contends when inside; 7) Native Fate gets a significant barn change and 9)Snooz Attack shows nothing but good lines with Dan Noble driving.
Here are the rest of the picks. Good luck! (sorry for the delay- blogger software is not the most reliable in the world)
Race 1: 2 What Would You Do- Solid qually leaves the question, as a fave, WWYD? 6 Endless Vacation- Risky class dropper, as I forego a great joke; 5 Prime Number- Benefited from a pedestrian back half.
Race 2: 8 Little Creek Vic- Nice win in last with Russ + a good price if he overcomes bad post; 1 Celebrity Wonder- Class dropper figures from the rail; 3 Master Lad Pro- One of several they opened it up for.
Race 3: 2 Tic Tic Tic Boom- Had an excuse in last and Lasix may help; 6 Izalovelyscooter- Good effort in last, his 1st w/Daren; 8 Kingfishers Gold- Penalized by the snowman and those fair lines mean little, but…
Race 4: 2 Traintofly- Another chance as the boss takes over the lines; 5 Cummingsandgoings- Decent close to beat these last week; 3 Vibrato- Back inside and back with a tag should both help; 9 Jazzys Boy- Struggled on the move up, but may get a better trip here.
Race 5: 2 Princess C- Has been caught in some fast miles at ScD, taking a chance; 5 Northern Haze- Has turned it on since getting Lasix, but is still winless; 3 Camdestin- Inconsistent, but figures with her best.
Race 6: 4 Date Worthy- Risky choice, but she can close & the race is speed crazy; 5 Christina Victory- Big time class relief & moves in a few spots; 1 Legacy Chip- Has speed and must be factored rom the rail.
Race 7: 4 Ccs Belief- Should be better against these than against the $3s; 3 Western Empire- Just feel like he may finish this mile better; 2 Zeus’s Spirit- Beau will have him on the point, but can he stay there? 8 Liftoff Bayama- Closer gets a miserable draw but should pass a few late.
Race 8: 6 Vince The Man- Has faced better and has previous local success; 7 Slade Gram- Inconsistent, but can be a part of it; 1 Samovar Hanover- Rail & a rather weak eligible-at-time-of-entry get the show spot.
Race 9: 5 Sj’s Manawa Sam- Doing the best racing of his life, despite getting beat in last; 7 Ilooklikerudy- Last week from the snowman wasn’t that bad; 2 One Day Wonder- Tripped out to win the last week.
Race 10: 2 Drop Of Nutmeg- Another chance after a disappointing effort, maybe due to post; 6 Date Night K- Solid and needed win at the bottom; 5 Dm Fatboy Slim- NW1L8 always contends; 8 Jeremy’s Chaser- Has done everything but win in his last five, he won’t from outside tonight, either, but he still factors.
Race 11: 9 Snooz Attack- Inconsistent, but usually does at least some work; 7 Native Fate- Gets a barn change and might go forward; 1 Moon River Dell- The rail and some tactical speed make him a playa.
Race 12: 1 Altesse- It’s a big move up, but boy he looked good a few weeks back; 5 Catherinethegreat- I think Kurt helps her; 4 High Heels N Spurs- Moves up off a break, but should still contend.
Race 13: 9 Hard Time Gone- Look for improvement third time B. Knipper; 1 Robin Dontget- Doesget a much better post, which may help; 4 Liltycantbedenied- Tends to hang around, but not show much pop; 8 Lima Ritch- We wrap things up with a record number of eight-hole horse predicted on the ticket.
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