It's the one of the best nights of the year-- when the babies make their Ohio Sires Stakes debuts. I will be on a family get-together in the Hoosier state and will miss it, but there may be some opportunities. A pair that have been really impressive are Shez Good Osborne, a sister to three of Jerry Osborne's previous Sires champs, Osbornes Trick, Osbornes Gypsy and Osbornes Bullet. Meanwhile, three-year-old sis Osnorne's Yankee looks like a major player, too.
And how about Hawk's Cry Electra ripping off 55 and 56 seocnd back halves in her qualifiers? What's her bottom?
Picks will resume next Friday, July 10. Have a great holiday-- I will.
Giss
Here's the picks:
Race 1: 9 My Claudette- Young Rosy steered her to a lifetime mark in last & should get a good trip here; 1 Jarmoto- Has speed, but has not finished; 6 Oceana Hanover- Can contend for Kurt.
Race 2: 1 Jailhouse Run- Impressive Marion line gets this one home; 8 Medoland Jesse- Probably the best, but can she overcome the eight? 4 Rose Run Leah- Nice race at Circleville.
Race 3: 2 Sammy L- Has done nothing wrong in his career; 3 Lullaby Til Dawn- Like his willingness to pass late; 9 Rub Thing- Fast, but second tier is a question mark.
Race 4: 6 Hot Hip Happening- Matt’s choice over 4/7 and a bit better post; 1 Shelbys Muneymaker- On the chooch from the rail; 2 Gram Of Gold- Pretty consistent in this class; 7 Paint Wheel- Hot barn and a fresh set of hands in Noble the Younger.
Race 5: 7 Gadjet- Reunited with Kakaley and should win; 8 Sugar Scoot Brown- She did it from here two back, player; 6 Shell I Attack- Loves this track, but form not as sharp as top two.
Race 6: 3 Wildfire Osborne- Stahl chooses off a Sherman-trainee to drive, it’s enough for me; 9 Jellyfish Joy- Does good work & is also very fast; 2 Electric Highlight- Still figures w/Aaron.
Race 7: 1 Fantastic Fran- Beat these last time and draws better; 4 Virtual Dream- Very consistent and fits well’ 6 Scooters Clan- Tough trips lately, but figures; 9 Vienna Jenna- Moves up off a first-time Lasix win.
Race 8: 8 Hawk’s Cry Electra- shows back 1/2s in 55, 56, can overcome the snowman here; 6 Man I’m Hot- Gets Matt K off a good Q; 1 Tailor’s Filly- The rail helps this one.
Race 9: 4 Jesse’s Messenger- If she can carry her speed, she jogs; 2 Miss Ohio Spur- Break wasn’t her fault, will be a value; 7 Midnight Foray- Post a problem for Chip and this Chip Chip.
Race 10: 4 Jb’s Cutie- Gets class relief off an improved effort; 2 Sweetie Peetie- Shows two good lines at this level; 9 Quenelle Hanover- Consistent bottom of the ticket type this year; 5 Prettylittleangel- Inconsistent but can be on the ticket with the right trip and effort.
Race 11: 5 Shez Good Osborne- Sister two three Sires champs debuts here; 2 Caribean Cruise- Impressive mile at announcer Ayers’ hometown fair; 9 Longlegacy- Closed well from outside in first start, second tier makes things interesting.
Race 12: 2 Krissy K- Draws well which will make all the difference; 9 Marcie- Talented and improving; 4 Carry The Light- Dominated lesser last time here and then faced better.
Race 13: 2 Friendly Kathy- Shows good work in this class at bottom of form; 3 Miss Peabody’s Hat- Back class, yeah, but current form is awful; 6 Lady From Above- Needs to step up.
Race 14: 4 Up Front Lady Gray- Big mile in last and has license to step up in just 6th lifetime start; 3 Stampede Jenny- A different horse since getting Lasix; 1 Bigaffairintown- Third back and an improved post draw; 6 Kimmy Cruiser- Nice three-year0olkd and Stahl chose over 1/5.
Wednesday, July 1, 2009
Monday, June 29, 2009
Monday madness
A tough night for yours truly Saturday-- the ones I picked and bet lost, while the ones I picked and didn't bet won. And congrats to Matt Kakaley on getting win #1,000, even if it was at a different track.
By the way- I am on vacation during the holiday weekend. I will have picks this Friday, but then pciks go on hiatus until the followign Friday.
Northfield Picks from “The Giss,” Keith GisserMonday, June 29Publicity Director Keith Gisser’s handicapping tips are provided with every Northfield live program at no extra charge! Due to our printing schedule, picks are done in advance and may not account for in-to-go horses or late scratches and driver changes, so be sure to log on to The Giss’s blog at http://northfieldpark.blogspot.com/, or watch the nightly televised picks of Dave Bianconi, Ayres Ratliff or Keith for updates! Giss is on vacation for a few days in July, so there will be no picks July 4, 6 or 7. Picks resume Friday, July 10.
Race 1: 5 Lady Railaway- Wants to be a racehorse, but may not be fast enough here; 6 Sand Jamie- Has faced far better, will be favored, but fast times may be deceptive; 4 Nanocash- May be better on a big track.
Race 2: 7 Rita’s Work Of Art- Big close off legit fractions last time, may surprise; 4 Cracker Chris- Was a bit better 1st time Lasix in last; 3 I Be Strollin- Matt’s choice over the 5-2 rail horse.
Race 3: 9 Praying For A Win- Has won, has faced better and this field is a stellar 2 for 85 in ’09; 4 Jim- Barn change, but no driver change; 1 I Will Come Over- Drops, gets rail, rarely wins.
Race 4: 2 Stand Tall Mcgraw- I’ve always liked this horse and last line is deceptive; 9 Varitek- Usually does work, may sustain this time; 5 Kcc Thunder- Has been a bit better with Lasix; 4 No Parole A- Four straight checks means he can finish the super ticket.
Race 5: 2 Amati- Only one with a win on recent form and draws well; 9 Engine Hanover- Gets Matt and class relief, will be the fave, but is 0-19 in’09; 1 Go For It- Best draw in ages, a player.
Race 6: 4 Victoryatlass- 3rd back and a catch-driver for Steck’s charge; 7 Halls Of Montezuma- Should be better tonight; Sj’s War Pony- Always close, rarely wins, must use, but not on top.
Race 7: 1 Blue My Mind- Racing better with Lasix and gets the rail, that’s enough to beat these; 9 Robin Dontget- Pitch the last two and she might fit here; 6 Fancy Schmansy- Has been a disappointment, but can contend at this level; 7 N C Sam- Best of the rest.
Race 8: 3 Environmental- Needs the front and should get it here; 5 Seaworthy- Classy old guy gets Matt K, could this be #1,000? 1 Dees Bomber- Moves back up, but gets the rail for Dan K.
Race 9: 3 Maebee- Big improvement since getting Lasix; 9 Yankee Squire- Has shown he fits this class; 1 Mor Of That- Has seemed a bit short, maybe has his legs under him after four starts.
Race 10: 3 Happytime- Needs to pace the mile, but should win if flat; 6 Rich man Poor Man- Always competes at this level; 7 Romance’s Thunder- Returning to form after layoff; 5 Laredos Goose- Has improved each start since losing Lasix.
Race 11: 5 Salute To Victory- Kakaley chose off but I like this Semper Fi filly; 9 Parris Island- Inconsistent, but can contend; 7 Royal Cat- Was solid this winter may need a start or two.
Race 12: 6 Forever Ivy- Very talented filly gets a softish spot; 2 Double Dribble- Well-bred and improving; 9 Constantinoble- Has ability, needs a better trip (and to mind manners from 2nd tier).
Race 13: 3 Up Front Carl- I don’t want to hear the every-other start theory, he seems the best; 4 Expensive Western- Two 3rds and a 4th against similar; 2 Real Sexy- Best draw in six weeks.
Race 14: 9 Make Me Proudchico- Back at the level of the winning streak; 2 Allamerican Viper- Faces softer and draws well; 3 Artic Blast- Threes at ScD are about the same as here and he competed there; 5 Take Down Hall- One last chance, cost himself last time and may need a rest.
By the way- I am on vacation during the holiday weekend. I will have picks this Friday, but then pciks go on hiatus until the followign Friday.
Northfield Picks from “The Giss,” Keith GisserMonday, June 29Publicity Director Keith Gisser’s handicapping tips are provided with every Northfield live program at no extra charge! Due to our printing schedule, picks are done in advance and may not account for in-to-go horses or late scratches and driver changes, so be sure to log on to The Giss’s blog at http://northfieldpark.blogspot.com/, or watch the nightly televised picks of Dave Bianconi, Ayres Ratliff or Keith for updates! Giss is on vacation for a few days in July, so there will be no picks July 4, 6 or 7. Picks resume Friday, July 10.
Race 1: 5 Lady Railaway- Wants to be a racehorse, but may not be fast enough here; 6 Sand Jamie- Has faced far better, will be favored, but fast times may be deceptive; 4 Nanocash- May be better on a big track.
Race 2: 7 Rita’s Work Of Art- Big close off legit fractions last time, may surprise; 4 Cracker Chris- Was a bit better 1st time Lasix in last; 3 I Be Strollin- Matt’s choice over the 5-2 rail horse.
Race 3: 9 Praying For A Win- Has won, has faced better and this field is a stellar 2 for 85 in ’09; 4 Jim- Barn change, but no driver change; 1 I Will Come Over- Drops, gets rail, rarely wins.
Race 4: 2 Stand Tall Mcgraw- I’ve always liked this horse and last line is deceptive; 9 Varitek- Usually does work, may sustain this time; 5 Kcc Thunder- Has been a bit better with Lasix; 4 No Parole A- Four straight checks means he can finish the super ticket.
Race 5: 2 Amati- Only one with a win on recent form and draws well; 9 Engine Hanover- Gets Matt and class relief, will be the fave, but is 0-19 in’09; 1 Go For It- Best draw in ages, a player.
Race 6: 4 Victoryatlass- 3rd back and a catch-driver for Steck’s charge; 7 Halls Of Montezuma- Should be better tonight; Sj’s War Pony- Always close, rarely wins, must use, but not on top.
Race 7: 1 Blue My Mind- Racing better with Lasix and gets the rail, that’s enough to beat these; 9 Robin Dontget- Pitch the last two and she might fit here; 6 Fancy Schmansy- Has been a disappointment, but can contend at this level; 7 N C Sam- Best of the rest.
Race 8: 3 Environmental- Needs the front and should get it here; 5 Seaworthy- Classy old guy gets Matt K, could this be #1,000? 1 Dees Bomber- Moves back up, but gets the rail for Dan K.
Race 9: 3 Maebee- Big improvement since getting Lasix; 9 Yankee Squire- Has shown he fits this class; 1 Mor Of That- Has seemed a bit short, maybe has his legs under him after four starts.
Race 10: 3 Happytime- Needs to pace the mile, but should win if flat; 6 Rich man Poor Man- Always competes at this level; 7 Romance’s Thunder- Returning to form after layoff; 5 Laredos Goose- Has improved each start since losing Lasix.
Race 11: 5 Salute To Victory- Kakaley chose off but I like this Semper Fi filly; 9 Parris Island- Inconsistent, but can contend; 7 Royal Cat- Was solid this winter may need a start or two.
Race 12: 6 Forever Ivy- Very talented filly gets a softish spot; 2 Double Dribble- Well-bred and improving; 9 Constantinoble- Has ability, needs a better trip (and to mind manners from 2nd tier).
Race 13: 3 Up Front Carl- I don’t want to hear the every-other start theory, he seems the best; 4 Expensive Western- Two 3rds and a 4th against similar; 2 Real Sexy- Best draw in six weeks.
Race 14: 9 Make Me Proudchico- Back at the level of the winning streak; 2 Allamerican Viper- Faces softer and draws well; 3 Artic Blast- Threes at ScD are about the same as here and he competed there; 5 Take Down Hall- One last chance, cost himself last time and may need a rest.
Thursday, June 25, 2009
Battle of Lake Erie Picks
A lot of value, but maybe not in the Sires Stakes. Remember- the first Sires leg was seven weeks ago! A lot can (and has) happened since then. Many first-leg winners have seen their form go south, while others who were not 100% ready, have improved. Don't rely too heavily onthe first leg results-- I have in the past, and it has cost me dearly.
The tux is back from the cleaners and I will be handicapping from the winners circle Saturday, with Dave B taking over for the last few races so I can get the results release out. Stop by and say hi, and maybe we can have a smoke together!
Race 1:.6 My Mom’s Career- Has been solid and gets the nod in our Sires opener; 1 Colby D-Improving for Dailey and gets the rail; 7 Chewey- Post an issue, but is a capable closer.
Race 2: 4 Aloha Hooray- Keeps improving & can move any time; 1 Midnight Legacy- Steps up for Tony Hall, but is a factor from PP#1; 2 Mom’s Looker- Her driver is also nearing 1,000 wins.
Race 3: 3 Haven’s Buddy- Moves to Kent Sherman and gets Ryan Stahl; 4 New Riegel Star- Can contend, but is winless in ’09; 1 Samsawinner- Fast off the wings and gets the good draw.
Race 4: 3 Fox Valley Flyby- Class drop and gets a full-time trainer; 2 I’ve Got Life- Raced in the Battle in ’02 for you hunch players; 1 Super Max N- Moves up off the claim; 5 Capricous Art- Hot trainer, hot driver, improving animal.
Race 5: 1 Chips And Wings- Ultra consistent and draws well; 6 B Contemporary- May be a step quicker than my top pick, but post hurts; 7 Detective- In great form, but draws poorly.
Race 6: 9 Take Five- Impressive in last against these; 6 Elm Grove Gerson- Hall’s pick over 2/4/9; 5 Nuclear Cam- Needs an aggressive drive from the younger Noble.
Race 7: 5 Up Front Guy- Tony Hall in the bike pushes him over the top; 4 Earnhardt Hanover- Suspect choice, imo; 9 Zakman- Can contend here; 7 Mr Orchard Street- Post a problem.
Race 8: 8 Handsome Jack- Lightning fast and can overcome the snowman; 3 Stonebridge Romeo- Always solid for Matt K; 5 The Mame Event- Has faced better, but needs to trot the mile.
Race 9: 5 Worthy’s Magic-What’s not to like? 3 Sadies Legacy- Has roughed it and needs a better trip here; 2 Awesome Abe- Improving rapidly and gets Tony Hall.
Race 10:.6 Dance With Dan- Lots of speed inside him, but he should prevail; 9 Osborne’s Yankee- Classic Buckeye breeding, what’s his bottom? 4 J Cruise- Getting his legs underneath him; 1 Crime Scene Cruzer- Ultra consistent, must use in exotics from here.
Race 11: George Verban Memorial- 6 Gerald N Sam- Ultra fast & gets Matt K; 5 Stringtowner- Loves this racetrack; 2 Category Six- Good post draw makes him a contender on this ticket.
Race 12: $100,000 BATTLE OF LAKE ERIE- 4 Oliver Cleo- Charlino is red-hot and this one can grind out a win while the speedsters battle each other; 2 Jeremy’s Successor- Beat the fave two back; Foiled Again- I have a hunch Matt is leaving with this one; 3 Blueridge Western- Has won here before, a major player.
Race 13.6 Special D-Stays undefeated tonight; 5 Mystique Cruiser-Has been competitive in Canada, eh? 8 Cruzin Bayou- Can he overcome post 8? 4 Medoland Mac- Gets Aaron.
Race 14: 5 Tropicante- Tons of speed and he can grind it out; 2 Baba S- Robin chooses off, Clair is stuck with Kakaley; 7 Kyle Doodles- Point him down the road, but can he last?
Race 15: 9 Linns Dream- Consistent sort fits here; 1 Mr Kite- Will be solid form the rail; 7 Polo Joe- Another chance after a bad break; 6 Goatcoat George Tm- Just for the name, lol.
The tux is back from the cleaners and I will be handicapping from the winners circle Saturday, with Dave B taking over for the last few races so I can get the results release out. Stop by and say hi, and maybe we can have a smoke together!
Race 1:.6 My Mom’s Career- Has been solid and gets the nod in our Sires opener; 1 Colby D-Improving for Dailey and gets the rail; 7 Chewey- Post an issue, but is a capable closer.
Race 2: 4 Aloha Hooray- Keeps improving & can move any time; 1 Midnight Legacy- Steps up for Tony Hall, but is a factor from PP#1; 2 Mom’s Looker- Her driver is also nearing 1,000 wins.
Race 3: 3 Haven’s Buddy- Moves to Kent Sherman and gets Ryan Stahl; 4 New Riegel Star- Can contend, but is winless in ’09; 1 Samsawinner- Fast off the wings and gets the good draw.
Race 4: 3 Fox Valley Flyby- Class drop and gets a full-time trainer; 2 I’ve Got Life- Raced in the Battle in ’02 for you hunch players; 1 Super Max N- Moves up off the claim; 5 Capricous Art- Hot trainer, hot driver, improving animal.
Race 5: 1 Chips And Wings- Ultra consistent and draws well; 6 B Contemporary- May be a step quicker than my top pick, but post hurts; 7 Detective- In great form, but draws poorly.
Race 6: 9 Take Five- Impressive in last against these; 6 Elm Grove Gerson- Hall’s pick over 2/4/9; 5 Nuclear Cam- Needs an aggressive drive from the younger Noble.
Race 7: 5 Up Front Guy- Tony Hall in the bike pushes him over the top; 4 Earnhardt Hanover- Suspect choice, imo; 9 Zakman- Can contend here; 7 Mr Orchard Street- Post a problem.
Race 8: 8 Handsome Jack- Lightning fast and can overcome the snowman; 3 Stonebridge Romeo- Always solid for Matt K; 5 The Mame Event- Has faced better, but needs to trot the mile.
Race 9: 5 Worthy’s Magic-What’s not to like? 3 Sadies Legacy- Has roughed it and needs a better trip here; 2 Awesome Abe- Improving rapidly and gets Tony Hall.
Race 10:.6 Dance With Dan- Lots of speed inside him, but he should prevail; 9 Osborne’s Yankee- Classic Buckeye breeding, what’s his bottom? 4 J Cruise- Getting his legs underneath him; 1 Crime Scene Cruzer- Ultra consistent, must use in exotics from here.
Race 11: George Verban Memorial- 6 Gerald N Sam- Ultra fast & gets Matt K; 5 Stringtowner- Loves this racetrack; 2 Category Six- Good post draw makes him a contender on this ticket.
Race 12: $100,000 BATTLE OF LAKE ERIE- 4 Oliver Cleo- Charlino is red-hot and this one can grind out a win while the speedsters battle each other; 2 Jeremy’s Successor- Beat the fave two back; Foiled Again- I have a hunch Matt is leaving with this one; 3 Blueridge Western- Has won here before, a major player.
Race 13.6 Special D-Stays undefeated tonight; 5 Mystique Cruiser-Has been competitive in Canada, eh? 8 Cruzin Bayou- Can he overcome post 8? 4 Medoland Mac- Gets Aaron.
Race 14: 5 Tropicante- Tons of speed and he can grind it out; 2 Baba S- Robin chooses off, Clair is stuck with Kakaley; 7 Kyle Doodles- Point him down the road, but can he last?
Race 15: 9 Linns Dream- Consistent sort fits here; 1 Mr Kite- Will be solid form the rail; 7 Polo Joe- Another chance after a bad break; 6 Goatcoat George Tm- Just for the name, lol.
Wednesday, June 24, 2009
Battle of Lake Erie Eve and a Friday P5 C/O
I am a lot more focused on Battle Night Saturday, but some playable value and overbet faves to avoid. A bit of a Pick 5 Carryover, too, so let's try this:
125/23/29/45/146= $72 play. If you have to single a horse, go to Electric Highlight in the 5th race-- Towner's Big Sadie has to be used, but she is so inconsistent. The Sherman-trainee will give you your money's worth.
Race 1: 6 Cee Cee Comer- Rolled to new life mark with Aaron in last; 9 Star-why- Matt K’s choice over Sam’s Charmer, the ML choice; 3 Fiesty Kind Of Luv- Another chance off poor last.
Race 2: 9 Vale Breeze- Good effort in last, similar wins; 2 My Yankee Lady- Only three and can improve at any time; 6 Brite Time Sue- Shows two solid line at this level and fits, but rarely wins.
Race 3: 1 Rock-n-patty- Different horse from the rail, and a value with Wyers; 5 Kimmy Cruiser- Is going to be a nice one; 2 Up Front Lady Gray- Big effort in her local debut.
Race 4: 3 Sara’s Lil Sis- Took pressure early, provided it late in last; 2 Paint Wheel- Draws well and gets Aaron for a hot barn; 5 Karrydale Charm- 3rd back and some back class, 10-1 ML?; 8 Hot Hip Happening- Matt chose this one over the 2 and the 4, but I don’t see it from out here.
Race 5: 2 Electric Highlight- A tougher spot than it appears, but she draws well and always gives effort; 9 Towner’s Big Sadie- Beat these last time, but is awfully inconsistent; 4 Passing Lane Penny- More effective from inside and has some back class.
Race 6: 4 Tequila- Back at a competitive post level; should start a new streak; 6 Fleur De Le- Back into a positive form cycle; 5 Fantastic Fran- Moves up off a big mile, but Matt chose off.
Race 7: 4 Re Hott Alert- 3rd back but needs to finish better, longshot special; 6 Sophia- Just one for 21 in ’09, but is a factor with Aaron; 1 Sadie Falcon- Gets the rail and with her gate speed, that makes her a factor; 5 Precious Lass- First time Kakaley.
Race 8: 2 Surf Song- Another 3rd back angle, but she has never lived up to expectations; 5 Desert Bunny- Raced well in her return, but may bounce; 1 Diana Court- Has speed, gets rail.
Race 9: 1 Kipling Avenue- Rail and Kakaley make her the best of a weak group; 8 Tori’s Angel- Would be a player if not for the snowman post; 2 Sweet Sweep- Can hang around.
Race 10: 1 Classy Sarah- Stepped up big-time for Wyatt in last; 7 No Ordinary Smile- Gets class relief and usually does work; 9 K’s Dream Boat- Still green and is really a victim of the trip, can’t yet make her own way; 3 April Fool Days- Has been improving of late.
Race 11: 1 Sunset Ball- Traffic woes in last, but recovered, Matt chose over 2/5/6; 2 Town Goal- Has ability, but tends to run, risky; 5 Cam’s Oak- Freshman could be anything. Watch.
Race 12: 4 Hurricane Kelsey- Can’t be believe Josh took off Roy- he is the hottest driver on the track; 6 Silky Sailor- Game contender always works hard; 9 Nude N Naughty- Best of the rest.
Race 13: 2 Vienna Jenna- Gets Kakaley in local debut, but she will be waaaayy overbet here; 3 Katies Valentine- Showed signs of waking up in last; 1 Slick-as-sleet- Can follow these & show.
Race 14: 3 Stampede Jenny- Impressive off the barn change, easy winner; 8 Jenna’s On Jodi- Post will hurt, Aaron will help; 1 Rinestone Coddie- Stahl seems to get along with her and she can contend from rail; 2 La Suvera- Always hangs around, but often disappoints.
125/23/29/45/146= $72 play. If you have to single a horse, go to Electric Highlight in the 5th race-- Towner's Big Sadie has to be used, but she is so inconsistent. The Sherman-trainee will give you your money's worth.
Race 1: 6 Cee Cee Comer- Rolled to new life mark with Aaron in last; 9 Star-why- Matt K’s choice over Sam’s Charmer, the ML choice; 3 Fiesty Kind Of Luv- Another chance off poor last.
Race 2: 9 Vale Breeze- Good effort in last, similar wins; 2 My Yankee Lady- Only three and can improve at any time; 6 Brite Time Sue- Shows two solid line at this level and fits, but rarely wins.
Race 3: 1 Rock-n-patty- Different horse from the rail, and a value with Wyers; 5 Kimmy Cruiser- Is going to be a nice one; 2 Up Front Lady Gray- Big effort in her local debut.
Race 4: 3 Sara’s Lil Sis- Took pressure early, provided it late in last; 2 Paint Wheel- Draws well and gets Aaron for a hot barn; 5 Karrydale Charm- 3rd back and some back class, 10-1 ML?; 8 Hot Hip Happening- Matt chose this one over the 2 and the 4, but I don’t see it from out here.
Race 5: 2 Electric Highlight- A tougher spot than it appears, but she draws well and always gives effort; 9 Towner’s Big Sadie- Beat these last time, but is awfully inconsistent; 4 Passing Lane Penny- More effective from inside and has some back class.
Race 6: 4 Tequila- Back at a competitive post level; should start a new streak; 6 Fleur De Le- Back into a positive form cycle; 5 Fantastic Fran- Moves up off a big mile, but Matt chose off.
Race 7: 4 Re Hott Alert- 3rd back but needs to finish better, longshot special; 6 Sophia- Just one for 21 in ’09, but is a factor with Aaron; 1 Sadie Falcon- Gets the rail and with her gate speed, that makes her a factor; 5 Precious Lass- First time Kakaley.
Race 8: 2 Surf Song- Another 3rd back angle, but she has never lived up to expectations; 5 Desert Bunny- Raced well in her return, but may bounce; 1 Diana Court- Has speed, gets rail.
Race 9: 1 Kipling Avenue- Rail and Kakaley make her the best of a weak group; 8 Tori’s Angel- Would be a player if not for the snowman post; 2 Sweet Sweep- Can hang around.
Race 10: 1 Classy Sarah- Stepped up big-time for Wyatt in last; 7 No Ordinary Smile- Gets class relief and usually does work; 9 K’s Dream Boat- Still green and is really a victim of the trip, can’t yet make her own way; 3 April Fool Days- Has been improving of late.
Race 11: 1 Sunset Ball- Traffic woes in last, but recovered, Matt chose over 2/5/6; 2 Town Goal- Has ability, but tends to run, risky; 5 Cam’s Oak- Freshman could be anything. Watch.
Race 12: 4 Hurricane Kelsey- Can’t be believe Josh took off Roy- he is the hottest driver on the track; 6 Silky Sailor- Game contender always works hard; 9 Nude N Naughty- Best of the rest.
Race 13: 2 Vienna Jenna- Gets Kakaley in local debut, but she will be waaaayy overbet here; 3 Katies Valentine- Showed signs of waking up in last; 1 Slick-as-sleet- Can follow these & show.
Race 14: 3 Stampede Jenny- Impressive off the barn change, easy winner; 8 Jenna’s On Jodi- Post will hurt, Aaron will help; 1 Rinestone Coddie- Stahl seems to get along with her and she can contend from rail; 2 La Suvera- Always hangs around, but often disappoints.
Monday, June 22, 2009
Monday Musings
Sorry these were poste late-- we got so busy this weekend dealing with the media due to Governor Strickland's slots decision, that I did not get these posted. Needless to say, we are excited and eager to see exactly what format this proposal tkaes-- will it be similar tot he Racing Commission proposal, or will it get changed. Who knows? But this will be good for our horsement as well as for the track and its employees. Good luck tonight.
Race 1: 2 Garma Zombeth- Gets Wyatt & a post, & maybe a bit of value; 9 Harmonizer- 2nd tier a concern, but seems to have ability; 5 Mary All Over- Faced better last year and may step up.
Race 2: 2 Environmental- Is very fast, but can be his won worst enemy; 9 Vicasso- Gets class relief but has shown little this year; 3 Over’s Swiss Lad- Did work in last and gets Matt K in this.
Race 3: 1 Special Yankee- Raced well in ’09 debut and should step forward; 7 Sam’s Flash- Has been solid at this level; 5 Weedly- Has faced better in NY, but will be overbet and is no lock.
Race 4: 9 Cracker Chris- Has done work at this level and now gets Lasix; 3 Ms Cruzin On Top- Hangs around and does work weekly, or is that weakly? 1 Truarc Deal- Big improvement last time from the rail, but still lost by 7 ¾; 7 Toy Diamond- Robin’s choice over 6 & 9, post a ?
Race 5: 5 Sj’s War Pony- Matt’s choice over the 4 has been good, but not great; 9 Cinderella’s Pete- Stalking sort fits well with these; 3 He’s Fulla Chip- Moves up and usually does work.
Race 6: 1 Son Of A Spur- May be a bit braver after two starts at the bottom; 9 Charming Comer- Another chance after the break last time; 5 Country Parson- Improving for Matt K.
Race 7: 1 Cimarron Strip- Speedster gets the rail; 7 Fly Me To Heaven- Still green and fits off her best; 9 Cam’s Honey- Another one who could step up at any time; 4 In Two Win – Has put in good efforts most of the time.
Race 8: 4 Ginny Ann Tonik- Faces easier, but doesn’t win very much; 2 Come Along Fred- Improved in last and a good draw here; 5 Victoryatlass- God work in return, should be tighter.
Race 9: 2 Trytopass Sam- Sitting on a big effort here; 3 Air Louie- Big effort dropping to this level in last for Smith; 4 Seaworthy- Good win in last and is the class of this field.
Race 10: 5 Launch Angle- Class relief off a win is enough for me; 1 Chisum- Gets a barn change off the win; 6 El Personal Pace- will be flying late; 3 Water Twice- First time Kakaley, but that’s because Stahl chose off.
Race 11: 1 Anastasia Willie- Has been solid this season and gets a great draw; 4 Eel- Traffic jam cost him any chance in last; 6 Brassie M- 3rd back and racing well.
Race 12: 1 Allamerican Raider- Ultra-consistent, but it’s been awhile since he won; 6 Covered Connection- Another chance off the break last time; 3 Mcgwire- Trip will be better tonight.
Race 13: 1 Cb Attack- Class relief and the rail, will be on the point; 4 Break The Bank- Another JD Wengerd – Andy Coblentz rehab project, could be anything; 2 Passionate Bunny- Good debut off a very long layoff.
Race 14: 1 Deal Me Three- Gets a tag for the first time and should be a winner; 9 Yankee Squire- Has done great work since a Delaware sale purchase; 5 Nl Nuclearmedicine- Most consistent of all these, but is 1 of 18; 2 Georgia’s Cruiser- Best of the rest, perhaps.
Race 1: 2 Garma Zombeth- Gets Wyatt & a post, & maybe a bit of value; 9 Harmonizer- 2nd tier a concern, but seems to have ability; 5 Mary All Over- Faced better last year and may step up.
Race 2: 2 Environmental- Is very fast, but can be his won worst enemy; 9 Vicasso- Gets class relief but has shown little this year; 3 Over’s Swiss Lad- Did work in last and gets Matt K in this.
Race 3: 1 Special Yankee- Raced well in ’09 debut and should step forward; 7 Sam’s Flash- Has been solid at this level; 5 Weedly- Has faced better in NY, but will be overbet and is no lock.
Race 4: 9 Cracker Chris- Has done work at this level and now gets Lasix; 3 Ms Cruzin On Top- Hangs around and does work weekly, or is that weakly? 1 Truarc Deal- Big improvement last time from the rail, but still lost by 7 ¾; 7 Toy Diamond- Robin’s choice over 6 & 9, post a ?
Race 5: 5 Sj’s War Pony- Matt’s choice over the 4 has been good, but not great; 9 Cinderella’s Pete- Stalking sort fits well with these; 3 He’s Fulla Chip- Moves up and usually does work.
Race 6: 1 Son Of A Spur- May be a bit braver after two starts at the bottom; 9 Charming Comer- Another chance after the break last time; 5 Country Parson- Improving for Matt K.
Race 7: 1 Cimarron Strip- Speedster gets the rail; 7 Fly Me To Heaven- Still green and fits off her best; 9 Cam’s Honey- Another one who could step up at any time; 4 In Two Win – Has put in good efforts most of the time.
Race 8: 4 Ginny Ann Tonik- Faces easier, but doesn’t win very much; 2 Come Along Fred- Improved in last and a good draw here; 5 Victoryatlass- God work in return, should be tighter.
Race 9: 2 Trytopass Sam- Sitting on a big effort here; 3 Air Louie- Big effort dropping to this level in last for Smith; 4 Seaworthy- Good win in last and is the class of this field.
Race 10: 5 Launch Angle- Class relief off a win is enough for me; 1 Chisum- Gets a barn change off the win; 6 El Personal Pace- will be flying late; 3 Water Twice- First time Kakaley, but that’s because Stahl chose off.
Race 11: 1 Anastasia Willie- Has been solid this season and gets a great draw; 4 Eel- Traffic jam cost him any chance in last; 6 Brassie M- 3rd back and racing well.
Race 12: 1 Allamerican Raider- Ultra-consistent, but it’s been awhile since he won; 6 Covered Connection- Another chance off the break last time; 3 Mcgwire- Trip will be better tonight.
Race 13: 1 Cb Attack- Class relief and the rail, will be on the point; 4 Break The Bank- Another JD Wengerd – Andy Coblentz rehab project, could be anything; 2 Passionate Bunny- Good debut off a very long layoff.
Race 14: 1 Deal Me Three- Gets a tag for the first time and should be a winner; 9 Yankee Squire- Has done great work since a Delaware sale purchase; 5 Nl Nuclearmedicine- Most consistent of all these, but is 1 of 18; 2 Georgia’s Cruiser- Best of the rest, perhaps.
Thursday, June 18, 2009
Friday favorites and other musings
A tough card-- several races where I have no angels or confidence at all, but I guess you will have to tune in to my picks to see which races I had problems with. Good luck.
Race 1: 9 Andrea Pauline- 3rd start back and has been facing better; 7 Star-why- Matt’s choice over the two and three; 2 Kipling Avenue- Got my initial call until Matt chose off, still a factor.
Race 2: 5 Desert Bunny- Fresh horse angle, plus class relief. How will she be off Lasix? 3 Sex In The City- Good qualifier at Delaware, Walker an unknown factor; 2 Town Toots- Gets a post.
Race 3: 6 She’s So- Moves up to face lesser off the barn change; 5 Karrydale Charm- Big effort against lesser & can compete against better, she fits; 2 Winning Yankee- Matt chose over 3/4/7.
Race 4: 9 Weekie Wachie- Class relief, but the 2nd tier is a worry; 4 Bigaffairintown- Moves up off a huge effort, ignore at your peril; 8 Colossal Sahbra- Great horse, great form, horrible post; 2 Paint Wheel- A minor call even with Matt choosing off.
Race 5: 2 Jl’s Nite Music- Consistent and gets her best post in nearly two months; 9 Scoot To The Top- Another consistent one from the 2nd tier; 4 Gram Of Gold- A consistent theme here, but this one moves up in class.
Race 6: 6 Silky Sailor- Just keeps rolling along and Tequila gets the snowman here; 3 Fleur De Le- Decent draw, decent effort; 2 Hurricane Kelsey- Hunter will have her on the point in here.
Race 7: 3 Spirit Within- Drops to level of last win in a lackluster group; 6 Honeymoon Hudson- Very solid, just not winning lately; 1 My Sweet Lorelei- Joyner will have her forward early.
Race 8: 5 Mary My King- Sugg’s choice over #3 was huge in last, value; 1 Fiesty Kindof Luv- Draws well and deserves favoritism; 3 Tag Dancer’s Filly- Drops to level of last win, a factor.
Race 9: 3 Jackie’s Gem- Monster class drop, but has shown only brief flashes; 9 Diana Court- Gets along with Charlino well; 2 Naughty Maude- 3rd back and a great draw for Stahl’s choice.
Race 10: 9 Crosswind Fly Bye- Gets Kakaley and may stay live longer; 3 Sophia- In decent form but not a likely winner; 2 Doowrah’s Stand- Just feel like she is sitting on a big effort; 6 Classy Sarah- Should be a bit sharper with Wyatt in the bike.
Race 11: 1 Marcie- Will get a perfect trip and has license to improve; 7 Ilooklikevada- Look for an aggressive leave from Koch; 3 M D Superstar- Gets Charlino back after a costly break.
Race 12: 5 Rinestone Coddie- Good effort with the move to conditions from claimers in last; 2 Divine’s Delight- Talented youngster is still learning and can contend; 3 Helene’s Escape- 1st time Kakaley gets her on the ticket.
Race 13: 6 Stampede Jenny- First time Lasix off the barn change, had no chance in last two; 1 Slick-as-sleet- Gets the rail and Snuffy should save ground; 5 Janica- Has made mild bids.
Race 14: 7 Shelbys Muneymaker- Post the only question here; 2 Fox Valley Oberon- Will be well-placed; 9 Virtual Dream- Has not been effective when she doesn’t draw well, a chance; 1 Stox Up Bluegrass- Hasn’t had a post since April.
Race 1: 9 Andrea Pauline- 3rd start back and has been facing better; 7 Star-why- Matt’s choice over the two and three; 2 Kipling Avenue- Got my initial call until Matt chose off, still a factor.
Race 2: 5 Desert Bunny- Fresh horse angle, plus class relief. How will she be off Lasix? 3 Sex In The City- Good qualifier at Delaware, Walker an unknown factor; 2 Town Toots- Gets a post.
Race 3: 6 She’s So- Moves up to face lesser off the barn change; 5 Karrydale Charm- Big effort against lesser & can compete against better, she fits; 2 Winning Yankee- Matt chose over 3/4/7.
Race 4: 9 Weekie Wachie- Class relief, but the 2nd tier is a worry; 4 Bigaffairintown- Moves up off a huge effort, ignore at your peril; 8 Colossal Sahbra- Great horse, great form, horrible post; 2 Paint Wheel- A minor call even with Matt choosing off.
Race 5: 2 Jl’s Nite Music- Consistent and gets her best post in nearly two months; 9 Scoot To The Top- Another consistent one from the 2nd tier; 4 Gram Of Gold- A consistent theme here, but this one moves up in class.
Race 6: 6 Silky Sailor- Just keeps rolling along and Tequila gets the snowman here; 3 Fleur De Le- Decent draw, decent effort; 2 Hurricane Kelsey- Hunter will have her on the point in here.
Race 7: 3 Spirit Within- Drops to level of last win in a lackluster group; 6 Honeymoon Hudson- Very solid, just not winning lately; 1 My Sweet Lorelei- Joyner will have her forward early.
Race 8: 5 Mary My King- Sugg’s choice over #3 was huge in last, value; 1 Fiesty Kindof Luv- Draws well and deserves favoritism; 3 Tag Dancer’s Filly- Drops to level of last win, a factor.
Race 9: 3 Jackie’s Gem- Monster class drop, but has shown only brief flashes; 9 Diana Court- Gets along with Charlino well; 2 Naughty Maude- 3rd back and a great draw for Stahl’s choice.
Race 10: 9 Crosswind Fly Bye- Gets Kakaley and may stay live longer; 3 Sophia- In decent form but not a likely winner; 2 Doowrah’s Stand- Just feel like she is sitting on a big effort; 6 Classy Sarah- Should be a bit sharper with Wyatt in the bike.
Race 11: 1 Marcie- Will get a perfect trip and has license to improve; 7 Ilooklikevada- Look for an aggressive leave from Koch; 3 M D Superstar- Gets Charlino back after a costly break.
Race 12: 5 Rinestone Coddie- Good effort with the move to conditions from claimers in last; 2 Divine’s Delight- Talented youngster is still learning and can contend; 3 Helene’s Escape- 1st time Kakaley gets her on the ticket.
Race 13: 6 Stampede Jenny- First time Lasix off the barn change, had no chance in last two; 1 Slick-as-sleet- Gets the rail and Snuffy should save ground; 5 Janica- Has made mild bids.
Race 14: 7 Shelbys Muneymaker- Post the only question here; 2 Fox Valley Oberon- Will be well-placed; 9 Virtual Dream- Has not been effective when she doesn’t draw well, a chance; 1 Stox Up Bluegrass- Hasn’t had a post since April.
Monday, June 15, 2009
Special Wednesday card!
Here are the Wednesday picks- not the most powerful card in history, but certainly some potential value-- watch for carryovers in Pick 4 and Pick 5 from Monday-- I have a hunch one of them will go unsolved. Good Luck!
Race 1: 3 Country Parson- Gets Kakaley off improvement last time; 1 Sweet Edith- The rail and class relief, check out the 5/1 line; 4 Tori’s Angel- Rounding into form and always streaky.
Race 2: 3 Silver Tinsel- Very impressive in 2009 debut, should roll; 2 Shady Camille- Better 1st time Matt in last, but a step slower than my choice; 6 Senorita Sykes- Deceptive debut, consider.
Race 3: 5 Chicago Sam- Big Ben calls on not so big Kurt, positive angle; 7 Cheatin On Charlie- Freshman can step up anytime, nice Q; 8 Carolyn’s Fortune- Positive driver change, bad post.
Race 4: 5 Town Goal- Matt chose off, but this one wins if he paces; 2 Double Dribble- Love the way Schillacis bring along their youngsters; 6 Buckshot Cheney- Drops out of late-closers and 2nd time Lasix; 4 Triple Diamond- Matt chose over 1/3/5/6 and we get a 3rd back angle.
Race 5: 6 Lady Railaway- Needs to mind her manners, but has ability; 3 So Fly- Almost always does work, but finds some tough trips; 2 Booyah Sheedaddy- Better with straps, benefitted from the fractions last time and may be overbet.
Race 6: 1 Varitek- The rail & Kakaley off a big effort at this level from snowman, jogs; 5 Dalcroft Toby- Inconsistent, but gets some class relief; 9 Stand Tall Mcgraw- Trainer Karcher drives.
Race 7: 5 Harmony Oaks Tom- Way overdue and fits with these; 3 Powerful Cam- All about post draw for him and gets a good one; 1 Cadillacconnection- Not in great form, but must consider with these from the rail; 9 Tricky Tactics- Can finish the super and never leave pylons.
Race 8: 2 Llc- Kurt is back in the bike on this speedster; 4 Yankee Summit- In appositive form cycle; 1 Dublin Dollars- Will be on the point, but I don’t think he hangs on with these.
Race 9: 2 Maebee- Much improved since going back on Lasix; 5 Urusla K- Moves up in solid form and can contend for Wyers; 7 Fly Me To Heaven- Has ability, post hurts.
Race 10: 2 Capricious Art- Kakaley chooses off a Millner-trainee for this one; 9 Dream Sunrise- Figures here, even without Matt; 8 Expensive Western- Miller’s choice over the rail and the #4 ?!? 4- Shannons Boy Scout- Huge effort in his last and should go forward.
Race 11: 7 Honorable Guy- Drops below level of last win and post not a factor for him; 6 Stonebridge Romeo- Matt was listed on 6 and 8 and he is off this race, mmmm? 1 Charming Comer- Has been consistent lately, but moves into uncharted territory (at least recently).
Race 12: 8 Max’s Cruiser- On paper he is way the best, but must overcome post eight; 9 Iconic Style- Traffic trouble at ScD last time, likes this track; Ideal Ticket- Decent Q, who knows?
Race 13: 3 Komodo Island- Wins if Kurt can rate him; 9 Turbo Connection- There’s a hidden move in the last line off the barn change; 5 Go for It- Best of the rest of a weak group.
Race 14: 9 Panda CafĂ©- Kakaley’s choice over 3/6/7/8, enough for me; 3 Rich Man Poor Man- Robin will have him moving at some point and class drop helps; 1 Validated Parking- Get the rail and a bit of class relief; 5 Allamerican Raider- Consistent “on the ticket” horse.
Race 1: 3 Country Parson- Gets Kakaley off improvement last time; 1 Sweet Edith- The rail and class relief, check out the 5/1 line; 4 Tori’s Angel- Rounding into form and always streaky.
Race 2: 3 Silver Tinsel- Very impressive in 2009 debut, should roll; 2 Shady Camille- Better 1st time Matt in last, but a step slower than my choice; 6 Senorita Sykes- Deceptive debut, consider.
Race 3: 5 Chicago Sam- Big Ben calls on not so big Kurt, positive angle; 7 Cheatin On Charlie- Freshman can step up anytime, nice Q; 8 Carolyn’s Fortune- Positive driver change, bad post.
Race 4: 5 Town Goal- Matt chose off, but this one wins if he paces; 2 Double Dribble- Love the way Schillacis bring along their youngsters; 6 Buckshot Cheney- Drops out of late-closers and 2nd time Lasix; 4 Triple Diamond- Matt chose over 1/3/5/6 and we get a 3rd back angle.
Race 5: 6 Lady Railaway- Needs to mind her manners, but has ability; 3 So Fly- Almost always does work, but finds some tough trips; 2 Booyah Sheedaddy- Better with straps, benefitted from the fractions last time and may be overbet.
Race 6: 1 Varitek- The rail & Kakaley off a big effort at this level from snowman, jogs; 5 Dalcroft Toby- Inconsistent, but gets some class relief; 9 Stand Tall Mcgraw- Trainer Karcher drives.
Race 7: 5 Harmony Oaks Tom- Way overdue and fits with these; 3 Powerful Cam- All about post draw for him and gets a good one; 1 Cadillacconnection- Not in great form, but must consider with these from the rail; 9 Tricky Tactics- Can finish the super and never leave pylons.
Race 8: 2 Llc- Kurt is back in the bike on this speedster; 4 Yankee Summit- In appositive form cycle; 1 Dublin Dollars- Will be on the point, but I don’t think he hangs on with these.
Race 9: 2 Maebee- Much improved since going back on Lasix; 5 Urusla K- Moves up in solid form and can contend for Wyers; 7 Fly Me To Heaven- Has ability, post hurts.
Race 10: 2 Capricious Art- Kakaley chooses off a Millner-trainee for this one; 9 Dream Sunrise- Figures here, even without Matt; 8 Expensive Western- Miller’s choice over the rail and the #4 ?!? 4- Shannons Boy Scout- Huge effort in his last and should go forward.
Race 11: 7 Honorable Guy- Drops below level of last win and post not a factor for him; 6 Stonebridge Romeo- Matt was listed on 6 and 8 and he is off this race, mmmm? 1 Charming Comer- Has been consistent lately, but moves into uncharted territory (at least recently).
Race 12: 8 Max’s Cruiser- On paper he is way the best, but must overcome post eight; 9 Iconic Style- Traffic trouble at ScD last time, likes this track; Ideal Ticket- Decent Q, who knows?
Race 13: 3 Komodo Island- Wins if Kurt can rate him; 9 Turbo Connection- There’s a hidden move in the last line off the barn change; 5 Go for It- Best of the rest of a weak group.
Race 14: 9 Panda CafĂ©- Kakaley’s choice over 3/6/7/8, enough for me; 3 Rich Man Poor Man- Robin will have him moving at some point and class drop helps; 1 Validated Parking- Get the rail and a bit of class relief; 5 Allamerican Raider- Consistent “on the ticket” horse.
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