Wednesday, July 20, 2011

Friday- Battle of Lake Erie "eve"

A good card with some value potential. I will be coaching two teams the Adidas National Showcase, but will be at the track for Battle Night. BTW- Pick 4 Saturday, ending with the Battle, has a $10K Guarantee. I will have that play and my Battle night picks posted tomorrow.

Here is the Friday analysis. Good luck.


Race 1: 4 M A Maria- Best draw in forever and showed signs of waking up in last; 3 Cinderella Blue- One move mare needs to make it at the right time; 7 All Over Now- Just a hunch the Swartz will be with her.

Race 2: 3 Pray To Me- Has shown improvement lately and could surprise; 4 Wild Nordic- Probably the nest with her best, but we just don’t always see the effort; 5 Viking Mia- Always close in, but not winning with frequency.

Race 3: 4 Karrydale Charm- I’m a fan, but she has been awful lately, hopeful pick; 6 Ursula K- May keep going forward second time D. Harvey; 5 Better Hustle- No chance with a bad draw last time, consider.

Race 4: 9 Lima Adore- Drops to the level of her last win and has done some work against better; 3 Hawthorne Maria- Usually does work, Maybe she will sustain it this time; 7 Moira’s Intended- Wyatt’s choice over #2 and #5 should be considered here; 5 Hillcrest Crystal- Gets fresh hands after two improved efforts.

Race 5: 4 Gadjet- Classy mare closed well in last & is due; 1 What’s Your Fantasy- Gets class relief & has shown speed when drawing inside; 3 Drop Of Nutmeg- The fastest of 14 siblings, 13 of them with marks. Worth noting.

Race 6: 3 Paint Tina- She gets a lukewarm call here, but if odds are short, I am off her; 4 Paris H- NW1L8 gets some class relief; 6 Silky Sailor- Form is improving and she has always been streaky.

Race 7: 3 Jimi’s Little Wing- I think she handles the move up as sharp as she is; 5 Boradway Petera- was just in too tough last time, better tonight; 7 Prioncessoftheball- Another one who is racing well, but the draw punishes her; 1 Jenabell- Should get a perfect trip from her and that may be just what she needs.

Race 8: 1 Fantastic Fran- Gets the call with this draw, but she’s no lock; 2 Doowrah Silver- Has a solid close when she fires; 6 Cooby N- Tough trip last time, but she was gamer than the line shows.

Race 9: 4 Icu Roller- Third back and doing decent work since; 2 Whoville- Has drawn as badly as you can all year, so far, not tonight; 3 My Sweet Lorelei- The draw makes her a contender

Race 10: 9 Eradikate- Nice sophomore filly can and should still go forward; 4 Royal Cam Osborne- Looks like she finally figured how to be a race horse; 3 Be Bop Beauty- Racing well, but Swartz chose to the 4; 7 Admirals’ Diamond- May be the best of these, but the outside draw hurts her.

Race 11: 3 Storms Never Last- Has been very sharp of late and is the solid play here; 2 Emma Rose Ben- Class and post relief may make up for her poor current form; 1 Jessies Band- Only a factor due to the rail.

Race 12: 5 Game Danica- Double class dropper should handle these easily; 1 Alysaa Blue- Racing well and now gets the best draw; 7 On The Money- Class relief means she’ll be in the money despite the bad draw.

Race 13: 9 Grace Of Hearts- Just a hunch, she at least tried last time; 7 Stox Up Bluegrass- May still have too far to come in this one; 2 Soaring Cloud- Just not convinced she can win at this level; 1 Dreamfair Frannie- The sick scratch worries me, even though she missed just one start. The rail could mean easy trip for a decent result.

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