Sunday, May 1, 2011

Monday- Add a $10K Guaranteed pick 4.

With Northfield dropping Saturdays, this week only, 410K guarantee on Monday-Wednesday-Friday, going to Monday-Wednesday starting May 9.

We are hitting these Pick fours, but not making much money lately. I am hoping to change that starting Monday.

The Play- 13/2347/129/13= $48

Analysis:

In race 8, Alliance Hall is the clear choice, but Master Lad Pro is in very good form. The other contenders are "on the ticket" horses, not winners.
In race 9, I am tempted to single Go Go Osborne, but these youngsters can step up at any time, so we protect ourselves by going relatively deep.
In race 10, Ron Jeremy seems to stand out, but is only 1-15 this year, so we need to protect the ticket, especially since Dickie Tad is not much of a leaver. Those two will likely be 1st and 2nd up.
In race 11, Caprcious Art let me down last time so I will back myself up with the 31, Tieler Bea Hotspur. The rail is a great angle at this bottom class.


Here are the picks. Good luck!

Race 1: 3 Ivor Hanover- Was competitive for Noble before and get his best draw in ages; 6 Call Me Merkle- Good qually with the trainer in the bike; 8 Fortune King- Most consistent of these, snowman is a killer.
Race 2: 3 Celebrity Zelda- May be better now that she has a start over the oval; 6 Liltycantbedenied- The only NW1L8 in here, a huge angle; 5 Goodnite Wilbur- Was previously competitive with Noble driving.
Race 3: 1 S F Spiderman- Held on to beat these in last & should be even braver now; 6 Leanto Prayer- Extremely consistent, would like to see a catch driver; 3 El Paso Mama- Shows work and gets good, fresh hands.
Race 4: 1 Dr Jacks Shack- Gets a catch-driver after showing improvement in last; 6 O T’s Attack- Rebounded well off a 2½ year layoff, what’s his bottom? 2 Zihong Pang- Always contends, but rarely wins; 3 I Believe Hoye- This change to Noble thing may just work out.

Race 5: 5 Jl Stand Forward- I don’t care where he stands as long as he moves forward; 1 Suited N Booted- You’ll never guess what angle I’m looking at here; 6 Thessaly- Third start back angle, needs to finish stronger.

Race 6: 1 Lotsa Help- Racing well. He may be winless in 13, but so is all but one of the others; 2 Red Radar Gun- Historically races well fresh; 7 Red Raider- Very consistent, but a tough draw here.

Race 7: 3 Guile’s Boy- Big effort with Noble back in the bike last time; 1 Tooter Lane- Gets Charlino and the rail, that may be enough to win; 2 Laag the Mile- Drops to the level of his last win, but has been awful since; 7 Shark Lover- Gets class relief, but races off a sick scratch, so drops to fourth on my ticket.

Race 8: 3 Alliance Hall- May be returning to expectations with his last line; 1 Master Lad Pro- Versatile, the rail and they opened it up for him; 6 Less Stress- Indeed there is… indeed there is. Class dropper gets A Merriman.

Race 9: 4 Go Go Osborne- Enough in the account thanks Mr O’s other Osbornes that I can take another shot here; 3 Here To Stay- Is he really as good as his last line? 7 Yourgonnamissme- Indeed you have, and I am flattered.

Race 10: 9 Ron Jeremy- All out of porn jokes, but he appears the best here; 2 Fantastic- Class-dropper may be need a local start; 5 Winter’s Finali- He’s no Hickory Hunter, but he may get a small piece here; 1 dickie tad- Has disappointed lately, hoping it is due to recent post draws.

Race 11: 3 Capricious Art- Please steer in the lane this time. Please; 1 Tieler Bea Hotspur- I hope he does better than Tottenham has; 8 Aliquippa- Not sure he can close from out here, but worth taking a chance if he’s a big #.

Race 12: 1 Sleek Fish- Class relief and the rail, now he needs a trouble-free trip; 2 Rapid City- Needs to leave aggressively, but fits well; 3 Slade Gram- Can hang around with these.

Race 13: 4 Yankeedoodledandee- Let’s wrap up with another 1st-time Noble angle; 1 Samovar Hanover- Has tactical speed, how will he respond to the barn change? 3 Fox Valley Mavro- Gets class relief and may improve; 9 Coin Of The Realm- The only Nw1L8 in this group.

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