Wednesday, May 4, 2011

Final Friday Pick Four w/Guarantee (and the other races, too)

The $10K Guarantee will be on just Monday and Wednesday cards starting next week.

The Play:
249/458/13/15=$36
and 24/458/4/15=$12, total invested $48

Analysis:
Race 8: I am tempted to single 4)Queen Aliceanna here, but she can get collared late and the two and the nine are the likely suspects.
Race 9: 8)S F Spiderman is clearly the best horse, but he draws the snowman. 4)Jo impressed me in his debut Saturday and may step up, 5)Drift Away just needs to keep trotting
Race 10: 3)Famed Artist shows little, but somehow I keep coming back to him. 1) St Jated Strike is a major player from he rail. 4)Polo Aub is my ? horse...I need to use her, but I am not a fan, so we use her as a saver.
Race 11: 5)Campside Angel is getting her legs under her and closed gamely for Swarts last time, while 1)C R Dream has been a tease lately, but will get an aggressive trip with fresh hands.

Good Luck.

Race 1: 3 Gadjet- Russ’s pick over the #1. May the Swartz be with you; 1 Tt’s Little Lass- Solid player draws well & looks good, but driver choice angle is big; 2 Precious Lass- Moves up in exceptional form and must be considered.

Race 2: 6 Less Stress- Disappointed in local debut, but gets class relief for John Ryan here; 2 Altesse- Has faced better with some success, but Buff horses often need a start here; 1 Red Raider- Another NW1L8, very consistent.

Race 3: 4 Miss Big Time- Tried to get her beat, but didn’t see an angle that would do it; 1 Theresa’s Princess- Gets fresh hands and the rail; 7 Jellyfish Joy- A bit of a backward step last time but she can add value to this ticket.

Race 4: 1 Towner’s Big Sadie- Wyatt jumps off #9 to drive, rail helps here; 4 Back Home Again- I’m very interested to see how the Headworth-Hollar combo works out, I think fresh hands make it a positive; 5 Jjs Request- Can I request a stronger finish, please? 2 Broadway Petera- third back, good post and should improve.

Race 5: 9 Jimi’s Little Wing- Raced well in her return and Wyatt picked over #1/2/8; 6 Hollysfolly- Consistent and I think Schillaci fits her well; 1 Vivacious Raider- Inconsistent and seems to lack gate speed, but must consider.

Race 6: 6 Talented Flyer- Moves up off the bottom win, but a similar effort gets her home here; 1 Musical Dream- Will protect the rail; 8 Mystical Ways- Arguably the best horse, but clearly the worst post.

Race 7: 2 Doowrah Silver- Hollar-Headworth again, by now look for a trend; 1 I Am A Laag- Showed improvement with Swartz last time; 4 Gram Of Gold- At $48.86, may be worth a shot off the qualifier, commodity traders; 7 Sassy Tempest- Just a hunch she’ll be “Koching” for Kenny.

Race 8: 4 Queen Aliceanna- Was very tempted to single her in the Pick-4; 9 Miss Port Foal Leo- Racing well, but needs to find a way to overcome the second tier; 2 Stox Up Bluegrass- Maybe the better draw will help.

Race 9: 8 S F Superman- May need to be faster than a speeding bullet to overcome the snowman; 5 Drift Away- Give me the beat, boys and free my soul; 4 Jo- Impressed in career debut with an explosive move.

Race 10: 3 Famed Artist- A very suspect group and this one has been freshened; 1 St Jated Strike- Streaky, but double jumps off that win; 4 Polo Aub- Must be considered, pitch the last line; 2 She’sa Town Girl- Always hangs around, but needs to do a little bit more than she has been.

Race 11: 5 Campside Angel- Closed well in last, first with Russ; 1 C R Dream- Has a move in her and will get a needed aggressive trip; 3 Storms Never Last- Tell THAT to Betsy Kling, usually does good work.

Race 12: 6 Admirals Diamond- Class-dropper gets a driver, but may need a local start; 5 Sunrise Sunset- When did she get to be a beauty? Consider; 2 Mattress Dancing- Best post this year.

Race 13: 6 Hula Lu- Koch chose over the #4, she’s consistent, but rarely wins; 4 Cruizin At Dawn- My initial pick until Kenny chose off, but at least she has a decent career strike-rate; 3 Darting Larkin- races well when she draws well. She does, she should; 2 Matt-scoot-n-bunny- Bes

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