Even though I am not wild about the 8th race, this Pick 4 looks like it has some potential, so we will attack it.
1359/19/123/69- $48
Analysis
8th race: In my real (no budget limit) play, I would hit the all button, but without a logical single, I am kind of stuck.
9th race: 9)Vaniscape will get a perfect trip behind 1)Shark Lover who loves the front and gets his first decent draw since Zach Galifinakis's last haircut. (That's a really long time)
10th race: The inside three all have recent wins against lesser and show good form. the 7)Bell's Panacea worries me, even with Tye driving, and the 9)Perfect Door was a good horse once, Did the win at the bottom wake him up?
11th race: I was very tempted to single 9)Be Bop Beauty, which would have allowed me to go deeper elsewhere, but Zhihong Pang has been stuck in some fats miles and could be a sleeper.
Here are the rest of the picks. Good luck.
Race 1: 4 Mega Man- May improve now that he has a start under his belt. A value, but won’t be 12-1; 3 Northmedo Hoo-ray- Was roughed up a bit in his last; 6 Llc- As consistent as they come, but not winning and doesn’t draw well.
Race 2: 1 Rose Run Freddie- Solid player after good efforts from bad posts recently; 3 Catch K D- Third start back and triple class drop; 6 Come Along Fred- may not suffer with Sugg choosing off as he gets Noble.
Race 3: 4 Go Go Osborne- Not racing badly, juts not racing well enough, another chance; 2 Aggressive Guy- Decent qualifier and may be ready to step up while moving down; 5 Billy the Kiddo- Improving and should contend.
Race 4: 9 Christmas Photo K- I have to pick someone to win, so why not; 2 Three Sox Missing- Has earned checks in three of last four, the best of these; 7 Ata Ata- Has fallen off the map with the b ad draws and gets another one here; 1 Better Hustle- The rail is always a playable angle in this class.
Race 5: 4 Suited n Booted- Can consider back with a decent post position; 3 Jetstream Cruising- Overdue, but needs to do more work; 8 Tidewater Tiki Tai- Trying to figure out why Noble picked her over the #4.
Race 6: 4 Skit Er Done- Impressed in her last start and may be even better; 2 Acoustic Hanover- Showed big improvement with a top driver in last; 5 S F Spiderman- Racing very well, but draws a bit outside the other two.
Race 7: 9 Tactical Dreamer N- Gets class relief and Stahl, who chose over #3; 4 Search The Falcon- Form cycle is on an upswing and adds value; 6 Irish Raider- Nearly overcame a ridiculous trip at 1-2 last time, no guarantee this trip will be much better; 3 Dm Ion- Big wakeup call at the bottom, start of a trend?
Race 8: 9 Danny-0- Lukewarm call in an ice-cold bunch; 1 Redzilla- Has ability, but is 0-15 this year; 3 Valentino‘s Peace- one of only two 2011 winners in this year’s field and must be considered.
Race 9: 1 Shark Lover- A rail after drawing 9-7-8-8-6-9; 9 Vaniscape- Should get a perfect trip behind my choice; 2 Guile’s Boy- Very, very consistent and wraps up the trifecta of NW1L8.
Race 10: 3 Crown Time Rambo- Post hurt him last time, but he’s very sharp; 1 Rapid City- Has always been better on the engine, but last start is a concern; 7 Bell’s Panacea- Just a hunch that he can contend with these, even with Tye driving; 2 Sleek Fish- Finally timed his move properly and moves up off a win.
Race 11: 9 Be Bop Beauty- Super sharp and still has a couple starts in this class left; 6 Zhihong Pang- Generally does work, but can’t pick him to win at 0-17; 1 Scooter In Motion- Moves up off an impressive maiden win.
Race 12: 6 Ben’s Big Bird- Lightly raced, but qualified pretty well; 5 I’ve Got Life- Went backwards after pulling in last, should be tighter here; 8 E C K- Two on the board finishes in last six is more than the rest of the field combined.
Race 13: 5 Triggerhappyfellow- Third back after two very good closing efforts; 9 Nascart- Always hhangs around and this may be the kind of group to wake him up; 4 Heremy’s Chaser- Seems to like the Route Eight oval a bit better than Washington, PA; 1 Hickory Hunter- Has a bit of tactical speed and can wrap the super from the rail.
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