Well, we gave you both of those guarantee Pick 4s last weekend and Saturday's actually paid pretty well, so let's take another crack:
The Play
13/2367/457/26=$48
Analysis:
Race 8- It is very tempting to single 1)Gadjet and double up my play later. But she doesn't always fire, so use the 3 for security.
Race 9-2)Ellie Deer and 3)Polo Aub have the fastest recent wins and Polo Aub will be crushed at the windows. 6)Red River Maiden is improving, but 7)A Fillie Namedfred really intrigues me-- she won in her local debut and she may be better than the form shows.
Race 10:7) I Love Being Right is a horse I will be playing flat if the odds are right, but the 4)On The Money, down in class, and the 5)Towner's Great Lady, both fit well here and must be used with the top pick outside on what is expected to be a rainy night.
Race 11: 6)White Cheeks could easily be singled, but again I need some protection, so I will throw 2) Tt's Little Lass on the ticket since she may trip out with this draw.
A couple heads-ups-- I will be at Northfield Saturday, as mentioned previously. Stop by and say hi. Also, after April 13, picks are going on hiatus until the 22nd or 23rd as I will be doing some traveling.
Here are the race-by-race picks. good luck.
Race 1: 8 Deadly Satisfaction- The March 18 line from the snowman tells me she can win this; 3 Doowrah Silver- Very consistent and a NW1L8; 1 Hf Velma- The rail makes a huge difference for her.
Race 2: 1 Hawthorne Maria- Gets the call off last week’s monster effort; 5 Medoland Kendall- Couldn’t take the heat In last, another chance; 7 Towner’s Big Sadie- Stahl chose over #6 who is better on paper.
Race 3: 6 Storms Never Last- Has done decent work in every recent start; 1 Precious Lass- Class dropper showed nothing from snowman in 1st back; 3 Native Flower- I’m just not feeling the 5-2 ML.
Race 4: 9 Ursula K- Drops to the level of her last win against a group with little to recommend; 1 Girly Toys- Maybe the rail will help her; 7 Cn Loufly Loretta- Just keeps hanging around, leave off ticket at your own risk; 2 Silky Sailor- Can save ground from here and still be on the super ticket.
Race 5: 4 Stox Up Bluegrass- Moves up in good form and has beaten these before; 5 C R Dream- Tough trip from a bad post last time; 7 She’s All Country- Doesn’t Stahl with Ryan driving.
Race 6: 8 Inawhile Crocodile- Nearly beat these from the snowman two back; 3 It’s a Sham- Decent freshman fair campaign, may need a start; 5 Game Danica- Wildly inconsistent, needs her best.
Race 7: 6 Catherinethegreat- Has done good work against good winners last two; 2 Jarmoto- Used her last time and she didn’t sustain effort, better here? 4 Date Worthy- Way overdue; 9 Candy J- Could be anything, but I would hit the “all” button here if I could.
Race 8: 1 Gadjet- No excuses against these from the rail; 3 Co Line Hard Drive- Moves up and can play with these with her best; 5 Allamerican Dora- Faces nominally better, but is in very good form.
Race 9: 3 Polo Aub- Drew off and hid last time, similar effort cruises; 2 Ellie Deer- Went deer in the headlights from the outside in last; 7 A Fillie Namedfred- Won her local return, how sharp is she?
Race 10: 7 I Love Being Right- Big driver change should help her; 4 On The Money- Drops one more class after a slight wake-up@250PS; 5 Towner’s Great Lady- I need a better final quarter from this one; 3 Electric Highlight- May be able to stalk these.
Race 11: 6 White Cheeks- Is better here than in MI, and her MI form is better than any of these; 5 Dream Misty- Swartz’s choice is so consistent; 2 Tt’s Little Lass- Could easily have flipped her with #5.
Race 12: 1 Section Line Adina- Best mare racing at Nfld right now; 6 Askpedia- Was competitive with the pick, may be a tough trip here; 2 Hula Lu- Always does a bit of work, but not enough to win.
Race 13:4 Emma Rose Ben- May still need this start, but should improve; 9 Island Idol- Track was bad on Q day, maybe -5; 7 Blueirdge Empress- Most consistent of these, but draws outside; 1 Back Home Again- A chance if she fires.
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