Wednesday, March 30, 2011

Friday- Picks AND the 14% Solution

As you know (or should) April kicks off a reduced takeout on Northfield Pick 3s, Pick 4s and Pick 5s...just 14%! Plus, in a joint promotion with the USTA, The Pick 4 pool on weekends is guaranteed at a minimum $10K. While I will be providing Pick 4-play on the USTA Facebook page and possible their website, the play will ALWAYS be posted here first.

2356/69/1/1234= $32
If you want a saver and don't trust Section Line Adina, you can play
56/69/35/123= $24

Analysis:
Race 8: #5 Inawhile Crocodile is fresh and figures even though winless in three this year. #6 Game Danica is the actual proven winner here, but #3 Mach N Cookies and #2 Red River Maiden may step up.
Race 9: #9 Northmedo Esther got beat last time but the horse that interests me is #6 Jarmoto. She gets class relief and a totally different style of driver in Josh Kash (aggressive). She may respond and add value.
Race 10: 1 Section Line Adina is doing everything right and is a logical single. #5 My Sweet Lorelei is a value play and #3 Allamerican Dora could pick up the pieces so I have used them in a saver ticket, although I doubt I will play it, since I like the #1 so much.
Race 11: #2 Jellyfish Joy showed nothing in her last, but draws better and faces lesser. Risky, but if she returns to the form of the Q, she wins easily. #1 Swift Samantha is above her best level and #3 Co Line Hard Drive drops below the level of her last win. Good Luck.



Race 1: 4 Storms Never Last- Taking a chance in a wide-open group; 2 Zim And Torre- No chance with her recent draws, but a solid player; 5 Stand Out Girl- Barn change and big driver change, no Joshuing.

Race 2: 2 Northen Opal- Steps up but dominated lesser in debut for a red-hot barn; 5 I Give Youmy Word- Moves up off a good win and a barn change; 3 Redmeansgo- Exceptionally sharp against lesser.

Race 3: 4 Medoland Kendall- Absolute tease gets class relief and may Kash tonight; 1 Eagle Creek Beauty- Risky off the break, figures with her best; 6 Doowrah Silver- The only NW1L8 in here, value?

Race 4: 4 Sunrise Sunset- Drops below level of last win & has finished better than #3 lately; 3 Blue Time Ice Lady- Also below the class of her last tally, not showing as much against better; 2 Towner’s Great Lady- Should contend with this draw; 8 Hollysfolly- If she can handle the snowman, watch out.

Race 5: 2 Cruisin Delight- Watched video of her last, fair program comment; 7 Hawthorne Maria- Game mile in her last, trip may be no better; 3 Sweetie Sue Cam- Doesn’t win much, but always hangs around.

Race 6: 3 Contech- Moves up, but can handle this group if she gets a breather; 4 Conway Maid- Seconditis is real and she has it; 2 Count N Caloris- Gets fresh hands and usually competes.

Race 7: 1 Darting Larkin- Lukewarm call due to the rail; 5 Towner’s Big Sadie- She has been stuck here a long time as a NW1L8; 2 Love N Devotion- Maiden might be better off racing against similar. Or not; 4 Sadie Falcon- Class dropper has contended, but the sock scratch is a big red flag for me.

Race 8: 5 Inawhile Crocodile- Raced huge against similar last time; 6 Game Danica- Beat my pick last time, but posts are switched here; 3 Mach N Cookies- Consistent contender, infrequent victor.

Race 9: 9 Northemdo Esther- I don’t think she lost last time, she got beat; 6 Jarmoto- Class drop and a driver change, needs to sustain work; 3 Catherinethegreat- Improved and stayed flat for Sugg last time.

Race 10: 1 Section Line Adina- Sharpest mare on the grounds right now. Here’s your single; 3 Allamerican Dora- Moves up off some legit efforts; 5 My Sweet Lorelei- My Seth Meyers/Amy Poehler pick- 10-1 ML. Really? I mean, really? 2 Askpedia- Only because J.D. chose off the #7, who seems solid.

Race 11: 2 Jellyfish Joy- No idea what to do with her off that 1st back; 3 On The Money- Third back and an improved draw with possible value; 1 Swift Samantha- Flat effort moving up, another chance from rail.

Race 12: 6 Deadly Satisfaction- Best post draw since her arrival and can surprise these; 3 TT’s Little Lass- Moves up but continues to show good effort; 1 Jetsreamjazziecam- Best post in ages.

Race 13: 5 Blueridge Empress- Hasn’t won recently, but is the most consistent of these; 2 Imagine Freedom- Showed improvement dropping down; 4 Shadyplace- Another NW1L8 who figures with her best; 6 Polo Aub- Should be on the ticket but is not as effective from here as from inside.

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