I really, really hope I hit Friday's Pick 5 so I will have some bankroll for this card. Immensely playable and some good potential value. The lack of Noble really changes the dynamic. Good luck.
Race 1: 6 Step By Step- NW1L8 and 2nd in 1:54.3 two back; 7 Silent Bid- They opened it up for this class dropper, post a worry; 1 Toronoado Mindale- Another NW1L8 and he gets the rail.
Race 2: 2 Iknowwhatboyslike- Moves up off the claim, but still gets a slight call; 5 Giulio- Needed last start, but may be a couple away from his best; 1 Master Wheels- Can stalk from the rail for the master.
Race 3: 3 Country Creek- Had done big work since the claim and is due for a win; Doctor Gates- Like his form, not sure how he will be from 2nd tier; Irish Raider- All the other leavers have questionable posts.
Race 4: 9 Soaring Viking- Has been competitive against better, may be a price; 2 Rounding Third- I still have no idea how good he might be. Neither do his connections; 1 Delivered Rules- Needs to be aggressive here; 7 Saucy Brown- First time Aaron and has tactical speed. Interesting dilemma outside.
Race 5: 2 Dakotas Bridgeman- It’s a big move up, but he’s been racing extremely well & may handle it; 7 Ar Ed- 3rd back angle; 5 Big George H- Can contend in this class and is first time Dan Charlino
Race 6: 2 Special D- Perhaps his connections have pooled their resources; 3 Avenue A- Usually closes well; 5 Blue My Mind- Gets class relief and has had previous success with Aaron.
Race 7: 2 The Libberteriann- Class dropper gets slight call in a race where the top five have a chance; 3 Awesome Abe- Love this driver move, even if forced; 7 Dax Hanover- Eligible at time of entry, but moves further outside; 9 Rapid Pursuit- Winless this year, but can explode at any time.
Race 8: 5 Chang Dynasty- Anything like the qualifier wins it; 3 The Long Goodbye- I think the horse reads my picks and then just decides to spite me; 1 Zakman- A minor player from the rail.
Race 9: 1 Meritage Hanover- Deceptively dangerous from inside, any chance for 7-2? 4 Caramel Dumpling- Will fly late; 5 Jenna’s Dream- Looks for his sixth in a row moving up. What’s his bottom?
Race 10: 3 Cruise On Osborne- Did some work in seasonal debut and should be better here; 7 J D’s Turismo- Inconsistent & post worries, but these aren’t that tough; 4 Sun Set Acres Troy- Has had much local success, consider; 5 Vilas Blue Chip- No way he’s 4-1 after being 50-1 in this class last week.
Race 11: 4 Tieler Bea Hotspur- He’s no Tyler B & he’s no Hotspur, but he fits with these; 1 Motorcycle Mike- How does he respond to the change of scenery? 9 Slade Gram- Should get a good trip.
Race 12: 3 Laughing Is An Art- It will be almost embarrassing if he doesn’t win here; 4 Mr Kite- Was an overbet favorite last time; 9 Mr Ahhh- Drops to the level of his last win, but it was in seven and four.
Race 13: 2 Sparks Of Gold- Better post and an aggressive driver may get him home; 1 Bucky Can’t Caddy- Would like him more with more gate speed; 9 Swingopolitan- Green and can improve; 6 Empire State- May be in for another tough trip.
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