Thursday, December 17, 2009

Friday Filly Follies

I have no feel for this card at all. But I will soldier on-- on the air so listen carefully!
Good Luck.

BTW- $10K (almost) Pick 5 Carryover. Looks liek a toughie, but here are two ways to play it withough taking out a 2nd mortgage

All/145/2/23/27 $108 -or-
23467/145/26/23/27 $120

The problem with the 3rd race is that the two "class" horses, Camphor Hanover and Gelika Ann are both off qualifiers and could be short, or ready to roll by a dozen. That means I have to go deeper in the first leg than I wanty and stay a bit thin in some later legs (would really like to Alhambra Bokay, but can't afford to, for instance)

Race 1: 6 Vale Breeze- Raced better 1st time with Dan C in last & I have to pick someone to win it; 5 Ask Me Honey- Has looked like me at the finish of a 5K in the stretch lately; 7 Silver Dollar Star- Fresh, but post is an issue.

Race 2: 3 Raider Time- Moves up, doesn’t matter. Best Bet. 1 Triple Fronts- Victim of the fractions, but lit it up last time; 4 Scandalous- Beau won’t challenge the fave for the front, will he?

Race 3: 6 Camphor Hanover- Lukewarm call off the layoff, but Q was good; 7 Gelika Ann- Lost to my k in the Q, but needed the rest; 3 Naughty Maude- Tried hard in last, better at NW$200PS.

Race 4: 5 Race On Wonder- Very sharp right now and can beat this well-matched group; Blu Meadow Tara- Not much gate speed, but will roll late; 4 Odessa Angus- Victorious return makes her a factor; 6 Electric Highlight- Never leave her off the ticket at this level.

Race 5: 6 Fun For Eva Mo- May still have more to show us, a slight call over the 2; 2 Redmeansgo- Continues to go forward for these connections; 1 Life Uptown- Consider from rail.

Race 6: 3 Cg’s Lady- Has done everything but win lately; Is tonight the night? 2 Sweetie Sue Cam- In best form of her life with little to show for it; 6 Alhambra Bokay- Always does good work.

Race 7: 7 Passing Lane Penny- Pitch the lines against the boys and she looks very good here; 2 Miss Mrfa- Catches a break with this post; 4 Emma Rose Ben- Had to use one of the sisters, & Dynastar has the snowman; 5 Dream Misty- Comes off two straight wins and a near life-mark.

Race 8: 1 Jeannies Luck- Should repeat easily from the rail; 7 Autumn’s Katy K- Racing very well, but post hurts, I’m not Kidding; 5 Cold Kiss- Inconsistent, but on the ticket with her best.

Race 9: 3 Colossal Sahbra & 2 Ferris Wheel- As long as Ryan & Elliott stay smart in front, box the exacta all day. They break 2/3 or 3/2 & game over; 4 Smileifyoucam- 1st time Dan Charlino.

Race 10: 2 Shelbys Muneymaker- Not fastest of these, but her current form and draw put her on top; 5 P C’s Exotica- Back at her best level; 3 She’s So- Tough trip in last, but prior form merits consideration; 6 Nativedreamcatcher- Gets class relief, but (because?) forms is suspect.

Race 11: 6 Polo Aub- Needs to leave alertly, but can beat these; 1 Theresa’s Princess- Has been facing much better, rail helps; 4 Gram Of Gold- Has had her best success with Aaron.

Race 12: 3 Weekie Wachie- Another Oliverio-trainee reunited with Aaron, consider; 7 Kate’s Rocket- A hunch in 3rd start for connections; 4 My Sweet Lorelei- Moves up & is super sharp.

Race 13: 3 Kool Kelley- Always hangs around and may finally break through this time; 9 Blue Time Ice Lady- Has been solid locally, 2nd tier is my issue; 8 Jimi’s Little Wing- Love the horse, hate the post.

Race 14: 1 Blueridge Fliritng- Fresh hands, the rail and always does work; 6 Reba’s Finale- Should be favored, but got a perfect trip in last; 4 Dandy Candy- Racing well but not sure how she fits at this level; 9 Fantastic Fran- Ultra consistent, can she overcome the 2nd tier?

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