Friday 2/19 Filly Follies

Just as an FYI, I am on vacation next week, so we will have picks for you through Tuesday 2/23. They will return on Friday 3/5

UPDATE- Pick 5 Carryover is $1140. My play is a 259/47/16/15/1689= $96

Race 1: 6 Red Hott Alert- the no factor comment seems rather harsh for her last start, consider if a value; 4 Simply Don’t- Mapes chose over #2, but she shows little; 9 Vale Breeze- Drops to the level of a 2nd place finish, but rarely wins.

Race 2: 3 Excellent Caviar- In good form and the barn change should not affect her at all; 7 My Mystique- Sugg’s choice over 4 & 5, and she’s ETE; 6 Lipey- At a level where she can contend.

Race 3: 9 Silvers Luck- Was racing well at Pompano, but Florida shippers often need a local start; 2 Paint Wheel- Moves off two very good efforts and most recent posts have stunk; 1 Youaretheonlyone- Has some speed, draws the rail and gets Deaton.

Race 4: 4 April Fool Days- Sugg’s choice over the #7, my initial pick, better post? 7 Karrydale Charm- Looked like her old self Tuesday, where she was fastest of the night, + ETE; 5 Medoland Kendall- Must finish stronger; 2 Hot Lips Rn- Beat these easily two back.

Race 5: 6 Rosie Caribia- Drops back a bit after facing tougher; 1 Redmeansgo- Has been very good for a long time and can’t ignore; 3 Eww That Smell- Needs to be a bit better.

Race 6: 5 Friendly Kathy- Koch chose off, so Dairl is stuck with Deaton; 1 Rinestone Coddie- Should be more effective with this draw; 9 Spirited Sammi- 2nd back, 2nd tier, but Koch chose.

Race 7: 1 Tallydega- First time Charlino angle is solid from the rail; 6 No Ordinary Smile- Gets some class relief, but has not impressed lately; 9 Theresa’s Princess- Drops to the bottom, but hasn’t been very good her last several starts.

Race 8: 6 Jimi’s Little Wing- Contends in $3s, which are better than these; 1 Bigaffairintown- Always tries & may show more pop from the rail; 3 Classy Sarah- Recent trips have been tough.

Race 9: 2 Stox Up Bluegrass- Monstrous effort in last, he first with Wyatt; 3 Stonebridge Beauty- Very competitive against similar in NJ/NY; 7 Bullys Joni- Like her, but post is an issue.

Race 10: 1 Cimarron Strip- Has huge upside off a big effort last time; 5 Ms Antsy Pants- Aaron may push her forward here; 3 Naughty Maude- Back at the level of some consistent results; 2 She’s All Country- Good post and good form make her a player, could easily be better than 4th.

Race 11: 5 Wildfire Osborne- A winner in :55 her last time here, cruises; 2 Drop Of Nutmeg- Very sharp, but not as fast as the top choice; 1 Beauty’s Life- Keeps finding a way to do the job.

Race 12: 5 Doni’s Bunny- Ultra-sharp and should beta a competitive group; 2 Island Idol- Two wins by a total of 19 lengths in last two starts, but facing better; 3 Fantastic Fran- Tough trip ended a very good string of races for her.

Race 13: 1 Gram Of Gold- Class drop, the rail, gets Aaron, what else do you want? 5 Tucson Lace- Rarely wins, but has been hanging around lately; 3 Eagle Creek Beauty- As soft as she’s faced in a long time; 6 Silvercreekcantina- Drops below the level of a win 3 back, well classified.