Cold, maybe wet, may change some of these picks. Make sure to tune in as I broadcast fromt he palatial Dave Bianconi Studios Friday night. I think there is value (and a Pick 5 Carryover)
Race 1: 3 Happy Occasion- Could be anything 1st time in the Deaton barn; 1 Ok Spice N- Gets Merriman & a rail, should be favored; 6 Desert Bunny- A bit better in last, everybody in the pool.
Race 2: 3 Sassy Marvel- No chance in local debut, gets Aaron and drops; 1 Kipling Avenue- Trots evenly & is a factor from inside; 6 Genna- Needs a flat mile, but can contend if on the point.
Race 3: 4 Eww That Smell- Big closing kick in last, but doesn’t always fire; 1 French Worker- 3rd against these with Aaron 3-back, rail helps; 5 Lima Adore- Does work, no 3rd back angle here.
Race 4: 3 Dappers Flash- Not sure how good she is, but safe to say “pretty darn.” 4 Fun For Eva Mo- Raced well in last for new connections, should keep going forward; 1 Sassy Kathy’s Girl- Consistent and gets the rail; 9 Ms Maize N Blu- Needs to work out a trip, Matt K. just might.
Race 5: 1 Redmeansgo- Palone Again, Naturally; 3 Shelbys Muneymaker-solid player at this level, should be favored; Colossal Sahbra- Returning to form and very professional.
Race 6: 5 Pocket Belle N- Hot horse, hot barn, hot driver = hot play; 9 Winning Yankee- Proven at this level and Charlino chose over #4; 4 Imagine Freedom- Dan chose off, but she fits.
Race 7: 2 Medoland Kendall- Beaten by a beast after doing all the work, should roll; 1 Mephisto Waltz- What’s her upside? Will get a great trip; 9 Cg’s Lady- Always hanging around; 8 Sand e Fiftyfive- Nice filly, but not convinced she can overcome the snowman (post eight).
Race 8: 4 Game Portia- Big improvement last time, first time Charlino; 2 Alouette- Miserable trip in local debut, another chance; 3 Triple Fronts- Ineffective against fours, competes with these.
Race 9: 3 Mystical Ways- Has been better with Lasix and Kakaley; 6 Tori’s Angel- Beats herself sometimes, but is pretty solid otherwise; 4 Tally Ho Chip- One line a month is a big worry to me, despite the good qualifier.
Race 10: 1 Eternal N- Somebody has to win & with no solid angle, I will take the rail; 2 Goldies Girl- Ar good post after several bad ones, a chance; 3 Friendly Kathy- Wildly inconsistent, which makes her hard to play; 9 Doowrah’s Stand- Better with 1st lasix in last, consider.
Race 11: 7Shell I Attack-Did all the work against some big boys last time; 5 Icu Roller- Moves back up, but shows she can contend; 3 Passsing Lane Penny- Shuffled in last, must use in tri.
Race 12: 2 Up front Lady Gray- Better effort than the line looks last time; 7 Dynastar- The class, but will post and the bounce factor catch up to her? 5 On The Money- Charlino moves off the one to drive this one when Aaron chose to #2, a rare angle.
Race 13: 6 Scent Of Magic- First time Kakaley gets her home here; 1 Sa De Me Lady- Class relief and the rail, major player; 5 Belladonna Cam- Lifetime mark in last and is improving.
Race 14: 5 Laffy Taffy- No shot from the eight hole in the last two, needs fast early splits; 4 Fire Me- Should fire with Stahl in the bike; 9 Panini- John G. calls on a catch driver, could be a tell; 6 Miss Peabody’s Hat- Like this mare a lot, but she keeps finding ways to beat herself.
Pick 5-$1700 carry-over: 145/134/13/5/129=$54
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