Wednesday, June 24, 2009

Battle of Lake Erie Eve and a Friday P5 C/O

I am a lot more focused on Battle Night Saturday, but some playable value and overbet faves to avoid. A bit of a Pick 5 Carryover, too, so let's try this:

125/23/29/45/146= $72 play. If you have to single a horse, go to Electric Highlight in the 5th race-- Towner's Big Sadie has to be used, but she is so inconsistent. The Sherman-trainee will give you your money's worth.



Race 1: 6 Cee Cee Comer- Rolled to new life mark with Aaron in last; 9 Star-why- Matt K’s choice over Sam’s Charmer, the ML choice; 3 Fiesty Kind Of Luv- Another chance off poor last.

Race 2: 9 Vale Breeze- Good effort in last, similar wins; 2 My Yankee Lady- Only three and can improve at any time; 6 Brite Time Sue- Shows two solid line at this level and fits, but rarely wins.

Race 3: 1 Rock-n-patty- Different horse from the rail, and a value with Wyers; 5 Kimmy Cruiser- Is going to be a nice one; 2 Up Front Lady Gray- Big effort in her local debut.

Race 4: 3 Sara’s Lil Sis- Took pressure early, provided it late in last; 2 Paint Wheel- Draws well and gets Aaron for a hot barn; 5 Karrydale Charm- 3rd back and some back class, 10-1 ML?; 8 Hot Hip Happening- Matt chose this one over the 2 and the 4, but I don’t see it from out here.

Race 5: 2 Electric Highlight- A tougher spot than it appears, but she draws well and always gives effort; 9 Towner’s Big Sadie- Beat these last time, but is awfully inconsistent; 4 Passing Lane Penny- More effective from inside and has some back class.

Race 6: 4 Tequila- Back at a competitive post level; should start a new streak; 6 Fleur De Le- Back into a positive form cycle; 5 Fantastic Fran- Moves up off a big mile, but Matt chose off.

Race 7: 4 Re Hott Alert- 3rd back but needs to finish better, longshot special; 6 Sophia- Just one for 21 in ’09, but is a factor with Aaron; 1 Sadie Falcon- Gets the rail and with her gate speed, that makes her a factor; 5 Precious Lass- First time Kakaley.

Race 8: 2 Surf Song- Another 3rd back angle, but she has never lived up to expectations; 5 Desert Bunny- Raced well in her return, but may bounce; 1 Diana Court- Has speed, gets rail.

Race 9: 1 Kipling Avenue- Rail and Kakaley make her the best of a weak group; 8 Tori’s Angel- Would be a player if not for the snowman post; 2 Sweet Sweep- Can hang around.

Race 10: 1 Classy Sarah- Stepped up big-time for Wyatt in last; 7 No Ordinary Smile- Gets class relief and usually does work; 9 K’s Dream Boat- Still green and is really a victim of the trip, can’t yet make her own way; 3 April Fool Days- Has been improving of late.

Race 11: 1 Sunset Ball- Traffic woes in last, but recovered, Matt chose over 2/5/6; 2 Town Goal- Has ability, but tends to run, risky; 5 Cam’s Oak- Freshman could be anything. Watch.

Race 12: 4 Hurricane Kelsey- Can’t be believe Josh took off Roy- he is the hottest driver on the track; 6 Silky Sailor- Game contender always works hard; 9 Nude N Naughty- Best of the rest.

Race 13: 2 Vienna Jenna- Gets Kakaley in local debut, but she will be waaaayy overbet here; 3 Katies Valentine- Showed signs of waking up in last; 1 Slick-as-sleet- Can follow these & show.

Race 14: 3 Stampede Jenny- Impressive off the barn change, easy winner; 8 Jenna’s On Jodi- Post will hurt, Aaron will help; 1 Rinestone Coddie- Stahl seems to get along with her and she can contend from rail; 2 La Suvera- Always hangs around, but often disappoints.

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