Thursday, May 21, 2009

Miller Lite Courageous Lady Night Picks

The chance to see me in a tuxedo should be worth the price of admission Saturday, May 23, but if you pay $1.75 grandstand or $3.00 clubhouse admission, you also get a free Northfield Park baseball cap, valued at $10! It is a nice cap and I may "buy" another one just to have.

While the post draw for the Miller Lite Courageous Lady probably sealed the deal for Palazzo Princess, there maye be some very good value underneath her. BUT, she has been off for three weeks. She will eitehr be fresh (like the Cavs in the first quarter Wednesday) or stale (like the Cavs in the final three quarters Wednesday). So many of the others (all but Moiras Bliss) raced Monday, how will they race off short rest? Here are a few specific angles (and I will be watching warmups very closely.

SAVE MY SHARK has drawn 7-8-9 in her three seasonal starts. She has had no chance in those races, but has done very good work and show speed.
ANGEL OFTHE WEST raced well in PASS Monday, but it was a slow split. It will be interesting to see how the first -time Charlino angle works here.
SAND E FIFTYFIVE- Tye Loy had some interesting comments about his filly on the USTA website at www.ustrotting.com/absolutenm/anmviewer.asp?a=31787&z=1
SINGNOEVEIL HANOVER- Was very good at two and has had good results this year. Wilder seems to do poorly in stakes races at Northfield, for whatever reason, but this one could be good enough to break that string.
CAMS VAN GO- She was my pick to upset Palazzo Princess until the post draw. A shame, she is owned by a couple regular guys aho have paid their dues. BUT, she has shown great speed this year and if Sugg leaves, he will likely find a hole and things may get interesting if the Princess is not sharp off the layoff- if this filly races like her mom, the local 2002 HOTY, used to, she may overcome the post. No doubt that going for $101K, she will be winging.
Here are the picks. Good luck!

Race 1: 4 Powerful Cam-No shot from the snowman last time, gets Tony Hall here; 5 Mans Star- Does work but recent trips have stunk; 3 El Personal Pace- Has leveled lately, gets Lasix.

Race 2: 6 Sweet Potatoe- Can be her own worst enemy, but cruises with a flat mile; 5 Mighty Looker- Seemed more relaxed without the straps last week; 2 Quantum King Leo- Consistent.

Race 3: 9 Stand N Shout- Ryan’s choice over 2/3/4, another chance; 1 Vartek- Drops, gets the rail and still learning, big factor; 3 Paradise Hotel- Can’t put my finger on it- maybe 1st Charlino?

Race 4: 3 I’ve Got Life- $450K in the bank and still doing solid work at 11; 9 Hoosier Lion- Claimer in a cheap condition, right Cliff? 4 Dream Sunrise- Local debut was solid and now drops even more; 6 Sultan Desbi- Drops to the level of his last win for Dan The Man.

Race 5: Coalford Admiral- Gets “stuck” with Hall as Aaron chooses off, who else has driven him? 3 Up Front Hanover- Will be on the point, but for how long? 6 Expensive Western- Drops, no threat to win but must use underneath here.

Race 6: 4 Earnhardt Hanover- We still don’t know how good he is; 5 Delivered Rules- The draw has been his worst enemy, value; 2 Up Front Guy- Needs to do more, but fits with these.

Race 7: 9 Elm Grove Gerson- Has raced huge and now gets Tony Hall; 4 Super Max N- Charlino-Santantonio is a hot combo; 3 Fox Valley Flyby- So is Stahl-Stahl, lol; 5 Nuclear Cam- Needs to leave aggressively here but can contend.

Race 8: 4 Bigboppr Bluegrass- Huge mile in 2nd start for new connections; 1 Mr Kite- Gets Stahl and the rail; 5 Iconic Style- Still green and gets a fresh set of hands.

Race 9: 9 Krissy K- I have concerns about the 2nd tier, but look for a ¼ move; 4 Redzilla- They opened up the class for him off a decent 2nd place; 1 Elektrafreak- On the ticket, but not on top.

Race 10: 2 Blue My Mind- Horrible trip in last, gets Stahl here; 3 Guile’s Boy- Will add value and find a way on this ticket; 4 Harmony Oaks Tom- Consistent; 6 Key Decision- I know Aaron chose off the 2 and 4, but I don’t see this one winning.
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Race 11: 9 Linns Dream- I do see this one winning, Aaron chose over 2/3/6; 1 Polo Joe- Raced well for Robin and Flash last time; 3 The Swami- $2700 Delaware purchase appears to fit well.

Race 12: The Miller Lite Courageous Lady- Superfecta Added. 1 Palazzo Princess- The post draw sealed this deal; 8 Cams Van Go- My heart says pick her, my gut says she will race like her mom and still be part of this. 5 Sand E Fiftyfive- “New” old shoes, according to Tye; 3 Save My Shark- Has had no chance with her post draws this season.

Race 13: 2 Ice Cream Stand- Improved with Charlino In last, but moves up; 4 Royal Tattler- 0 for ’08-09, but gets Hall; 9 Up Front Carl- $1700 Delaware buy may move up or may need start.

Race 14: 1 Make Me Proudchico- Big trip beat these last week; 3 Take Down Hall- Was a bit flat w/Sugg in last, another chance; 5 Covered Connection- Fits well here; 4 Eye Of The Dog- All about the post draw for this one.

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