With a $5500 Pick 4 carryover tonight on races 8-11, we have a must play situation. With the carryover, the takeout will be pretty much negated, making this a wgare that may pay back more than is bet into it.
As I look at the card, it looks like a pretty chalky Pick 4. Also keep in mind that there is bad weatehr in central Ohio and some shippers may not get here. My early Pick 4 play, pending some more time with the program , is 139 w/??? w/23 w/46.
The problem with race 9 is that it is a conditioned claiming trot, so few of the horses have shown us much in the way of winning. Ilooklikevada and Friday Nite Dinky will not pass. Proxies Fame has not won since 2007, as a two-year old at Lisbon! Flawless Chip has not made a nickel last 5 and Star-why has my friend Clair Umholtz in a catch-driving role. That leaves us with Chips Uptyown Girl-- consistent, shows a win recently, and only two off the board finishes last six-- once from post eight and once when interfered with. Dummy Jones has been better since getting Lasix (so much fro calling it by it's real equine name, Salix), but has been poor from outside posts. Valentino's Peace has too far to come from post eight. Or does he? And Dale get Shetler for the first time. I may need to go four deep here, meaning a $48 ticket -- 13/4789/23/46, but if I drop Dale, I only spend $24. Decisisons, and more handicapping still to do.
I will refine the ticket and will try to give out an actual play on the air tonight. Good luck.
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