Wednesday, October 22, 2008

Picking Winners and Making Money- Are they different?

As a public handicapper, I often take grief from you guys for me picks. And that is fine. Whether is it an owner or trainer begging me not to give them the Giss of Death, or a 'capper complaining that I killed the price on his longshot by picking him, I still enjoy the teasing. It's why I do my picks from the Winners Circle or Studio B, instead of from the palatial Dave Bianconi Studios whenever possible. I am a racing fans first and foremost and I love interacting with out patrons.

As a public handicapper, what is my responsibility? Is it to give out winners? To give out longshots? Or just to give out legitimate angles and tips they may or may not pan out. To me, it's the third. When I go on TV, I try to point out something you -- or the program comments -- might have missed-- a horse locked in, behind dead cover or a missed barn change. Then it becomes your job to use the information correctly, or to ignore it.

Friday, I had a great night. Not just because I picked 9 winners, but because mutuels included $12.60 on Foxy Jane, $25.60 on Sharon's Future and $17.00 on my best bet of the night, Momentous Meg. I don't have a big bankroll these days, with two kids in college, so I have to look for value. How many times have you heard me say "Let's try to get the favorite beat-- she's suspect." With double-digit win prices, we don;t need a ton of winners to be profitable.

You also have a huge advantage of me -- you do not need to play every race. And while I certainly do not play every race, I have to go on the air for every race. And there are some splits of maiden claimers or nw200pd pacing fillies and mares where you just throw up your hands and pray for divine intervention. I still have to go out and announce a prediction...but yo u do not have to play a race like if you feel that way. So don't.

Most horseplayers have a budget and will play within it. But you are generally much better playing 5 races at $20 each then 14 at $7 each. Even better is to alter the size of your play....Maybe $50 in the race you like the bets, than a $20, a $10 and a couple five dollar plays.
This will help your bottom line remarkably.

Hope to see you at the races tonight. Now, go cash.

1 comment:

The Giss said...

So we come right back with a 17-1 winner in the first at Wednesday! Did he like him that much? Nope-- but the other horses had nothing positive and this youngster was Glory Bound's little bro-- and got Kurt Sugg from trainer Aaron Hamilton. That was enough to beat a soft group.